Mexico vs Italy, World Baseball Classic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Baseball Classic - Group Stage
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaSportsnet+
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport Plus
germanyGermanySportdigital1+
italyItalySky Sport Max
japanJapanNetflix
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN, Nu9ve, Televisa, Tubi TV
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN 3
usaUsaFOX One, Tubi TV

Chances of winning


Mexico
62.4%
Italy
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
74% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mexico's form might have worsened.
  • Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Italy's recent form is better than expected.
  • Mexico - Italy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.3)

    2.54
    (3.69)
    4.4%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Mexico - Italy?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mexico will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Italy will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Italy (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 6:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Italy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mexico is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 4.5:5).
    Latest results of Mexico
    09.03.2026 USA - Mexico 5:3
    08.03.2026 Mexico - Brazil 16:0
    06.03.2026 Great Britain - Mexico 2:8
    30.06.2025 LMB All Stars - Mexico 3:4
    Latest results of Italy
    10.03.2026 USA - Italy 6:8
    08.03.2026 Italy - Great Britain 7:4
    07.03.2026 Italy - Brazil 8:0
    27.09.2025 Netherlands - Italy 6:5
    26.09.2025 Czech Republic - Italy 5:8
    World Baseball Classic Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWLPCT
    1Canada43121:100.750
    2Puerto Rico ✔ 43115:70.750
    3Cuba42213:160.500
    4Colombia41310:230.250
    5Panama41311:140.250


    Group B
    PlWLPCT
    1Italy33023:101.000
    2USA43135:170.750
    3Mexico32127:70.667
    4Great Britain41315:250.250
    5Brazil4046:470.000


    Group C
    PlWLPCT
    1Japan44034:91.000
    2South Korea42228:190.500
    3Australia42213:120.500
    4Chinese Taipei42219:200.500
    5Czech Republic4045:390.000


    Group D
    PlWLPCT
    1Dominican Republic ✔ 33034:51.000
    2Venezuela ✔ 33021:51.000
    3Israel42215:230.500
    4Netherlands4139:270.250
    5Nicaragua4046:250.000

          Promotion ~ World Baseball Classic (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Puerto Rico is Qualified for World Baseball Classic (Play Offs )
    Dominican Republic is Qualified for World Baseball Classic (Play Offs )
    Venezuela is Qualified for World Baseball Classic (Play Offs )