Result
0:1
12/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
Chances of winning
Le Messager de Ngozi
23.5% | Draw
27.3% | Musongati
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Messager de Ngozi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Le Messager de Ngozi's form might have worsened.Musongati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Musongati's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Messager de Ngozi than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Le Messager de Ngozi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Musongati than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Musongati, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Le Messager de Ngozi - Musongati Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.97 ↑
(2.94) |
3.43 ↑
(3.08) |
1.9 ↓
(2.29) |
7%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3).
- Le Messager de Ngozi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Musongati is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Musongati may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Le Messager de Ngozi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Le Messager de Ngozi won against Musongati?
Le Messager de Ngozi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Musongati won against Le Messager de Ngozi?
Musongati has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Messager de Ngozi - Musongati were as follows:
Latest results of Le Messager de Ngozi
Latest results of Musongati
Burundi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aigle Noir ✔ | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 59:23 | 36 | 65 |
| 2 | Flambeau du Centre | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 34:19 | 15 | 51 |
| 3 | Musongati | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 34:19 | 15 | 50 |
| 4 | Royal Vision | 27 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 44:29 | 15 | 47 |
| 5 | Bumamuru | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45:25 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | Vital'O | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 42:24 | 18 | 46 |
| 7 | Rukinzo | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 40:25 | 15 | 43 |
| 8 | Muzinga | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 30:35 | -5 | 36 |
| 9 | Ngozi City | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 33 |
| 10 | Inter Star | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 36:36 | 0 | 32 |
| 11 | Olympic S | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 | Kayanza | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:42 | -7 | 31 |
| 13 | Le Messager Ngozi | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:31 | -5 | 27 |
| 14 | Dynamik | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 31:54 | -23 | 26 |
| 15 | Garage Express | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 14:54 | -40 | 18 |
| 16 | Green Farmers ✔ | 27 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 21:73 | -52 | 7 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Aigle Noir is Confirmed as championsnQualified for CAF Champions League (Qualification )
Green Farmers is Relegated to
