Ilirija vs FMP Beograd – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
106:101
13/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AdmiralBet ABA League - Losers stage - Round 3
  • Referee: Kruljac B. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6663
Field goals made
3233
Field goals %
48.48%52.38%
2-point field goals attempts
4538
2-point field goals made
2522
2-point field goals %
55.56%57.89%
3-point field goals attempts
2125
3-point field goals made
711
3-point field goals %
33.33%44%
Free throws attempts
3830
Free throws made
3524
Free throws %
92.1%80%
Offensive rebounds
117
Defensive rebounds
2020
Total rebounds
3127
Assists
1719
Blocks
34
Turnovers
814
Steals
94
Personal fouls
2532

Chances of winning


Ilirija
55.4%
FMP Beograd
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilirija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • FMP Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilirija, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for FMP Beograd than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FMP Beograd, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ilirija - FMP Beograd Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.69)

    2.1
    (1.94)
    6.6%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 170.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 11).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • FMP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ilirija has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Ilirija will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ilirija
    07.03.2026 Krka - Ilirija 72:71
    03.03.2026 KK Split - Ilirija 107:112
    16.02.2026 Cedevita Olimpija - Ilirija 115:81
    10.02.2026 Ilirija - Polzela 93:91
    07.02.2026 Bosna - Ilirija 78:93
    Latest results of FMP Beograd
    Adriatic League Table
    Losers stage
    PlWLPts
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    10Zadar197121556:156926
    11FMP Beograd197121601:165526
    12KK Krka Novo mesto197121491:155026
    13Perspektiva Ilirija197121587:167526
    14Borac Mozzart187111422:149825
    15Mega Basket187111547:166325
    16Vienna Basket185131514:162223
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    18Split184141512:169722

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