KK Zadar vs FMP Beograd – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
76:65
14/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AdmiralBet ABA League - Losers stage - Round 8
  • Referee: Lepetic V. (Mne)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
5857
Field goals made
2223
Field goals %
37.93%40.35%
2-point field goals attempts
4032
2-point field goals made
1616
2-point field goals %
40%50%
3-point field goals attempts
1825
3-point field goals made
67
3-point field goals %
33.33%28%
Free throws attempts
3216
Free throws made
2612
Free throws %
81.3%75%
Offensive rebounds
95
Defensive rebounds
2527
Total rebounds
3432
Assists
177
Blocks
24
Turnovers
813
Steals
66
Personal fouls
2027

Chances of winning


KK Zadar
60.9%
FMP Beograd
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52% 48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 47.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • KK Zadar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KK Zadar's performance.
  • FMP Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FMP Beograd might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KK Zadar than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KK Zadar that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FMP Beograd than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FMP Beograd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • KK Zadar - FMP Beograd Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.84)

    2.39
    (1.99)
    6.8%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 158.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
    What is the prediction for KK Zadar - FMP Beograd?
  • Users Predictions: KK Zadar will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): KK Zadar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 81:77.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ AdmiralBet ABA League (Play~in: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KK Zadar won 3.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • FMP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KK Zadar won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1616:1675. (average 80.8:83.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, KK Zadar won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 741:713. (average 82.3:79.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between KK Zadar - FMP Beograd were as follows:
    31.03.2026 FMP Beograd - KK Zadar 85:55
    21.03.2025 KK Zadar - FMP Beograd 99:71
    17.11.2024 FMP Beograd - KK Zadar 67:83
    28.03.2024 KK Zadar - FMP Beograd 72:75
    15.12.2023 FMP Beograd - KK Zadar 77:92
    Latest results of KK Zadar
    10.04.2026 KK Zadar - Dubrovnik 100:70
    04.04.2026 Alkar - KK Zadar 58:69
    03.04.2026 Borac Čačak - KK Zadar 65:67
    31.03.2026 FMP Beograd - KK Zadar 85:55
    29.03.2026 KK Zadar - Dinamo Zagreb 99:79
    Latest results of FMP Beograd
    31.03.2026 FMP Beograd - KK Zadar 85:55
    28.03.2026 Mega Basket - FMP Beograd 79:84
    22.03.2026 Vienna Basket - FMP Beograd 89:98
    13.03.2026 Ilirija - FMP Beograd 106:101
    Draw
    Play-in

    Semi-finals
    1KK BosnaIgokea80 : 76
    2Spartak SuboticaZadar