Sarasota Paradise vs Fort Wayne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
14/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.281.31
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1712
Shots on target
55
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
134
Passes
79% (311/396)81% (327/402)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.281.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.651.39
Total shots
1712
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
86
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
126
Shots outside the box
56
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
134
Touches in opposition box
249
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free kicks
1210
Passes
79% (311/396)81% (327/402)
Long passes
51% (40/79)60% (34/57)
Passes in final third
64% (72/113)74% (78/105)
Crosses
30% (7/23)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.480.59
Throw ins
328
Fouls
1012
Tackles
75% (6/8)61% (11/18)
Duels won
3152
Clearances
1341
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.390.65
Goals prevented
-0.61-1.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Ricol L. , Armas J. (A),
  • 36', 0 - 2, Becher R. , Ricol L. (A),
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, Roed S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', O'Dwyer C. , Karani S. ,
  • 49', Stretch C. 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 2, Bolanos J. , Roed S. (A),
  • 65', Bryant E. , Tainio M. ,
  • 65', Stretch C. , Valentine R. ,
  • 70', Thomas J. , Healy T. ,
  • 70', Ricol L. , Terry T. ,
  • 70', Musa J. 🟨,
  • 77', Dias T. , Sproat R. ,
  • 81', Rosa A. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 85', Armas J. , Garay J. ,
  • 85', Hernandez A. , Smith J. ,
  • 87', Roed S. , Krueger B. ,
  • 90+3', Becher R. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Sarasota Paradise
43.8%
Draw
27.8%
Fort Wayne
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 27.6% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarasota Paradise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarasota Paradise's performance.
  • Fort Wayne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fort Wayne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Sarasota Paradise - Fort Wayne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.35)
    3.27
    (3.3)
    3.19
    (2.7)
    10.1%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sarasota Paradise - Fort Wayne?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fort Wayne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Sarasota Paradise
    Latest results of Fort Wayne
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples64118:3513
    2Spokane Velocity641111:8313
    3Union Omaha54019:5412
    4One Knoxville63217:5211
    5Westchester SC521212:937
    6Greenville42028:716
    7Forward Madison32013:216
    8New York Cosmos52039:11-26
    9Portland Hearts of Pine41213:215
    10Boise41216:605
    11Charlotte Independ31117:434
    12Chattanooga Red Wolves31114:404
    13Fort Wayne41123:6-34
    14Sarasota Paradise61144:9-54
    15AV Alta60427:11-44
    16Corpus Christi FC40224:9-52
    17Richmond Kickers40132:6-41

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)