Naples vs Sarasota Paradise – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
11/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.010.66
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
70
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
44
Passes
80% (305/382)77% (305/394)
Yellow cards
34
Expected goals (xG)
1.010.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.670.00
Total shots
127
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
63
Shots outside the box
64
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1918
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1115
Passes
80% (305/382)77% (305/394)
Long passes
52% (32/62)41% (33/81)
Passes in final third
73% (90/124)60% (58/96)
Crosses
21% (6/29)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.35
Throw ins
2414
Fouls
1511
Tackles
83% (10/12)70% (14/20)
Duels won
4344
Clearances
2727
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
05
xGOT faced
0.001.67
Goals prevented
0.00-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Walker A. 🟨,
  • 36', Bachstein D. 🟨,
  • 41', Strumeier J. , Glasser M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', Cence M. , Krueger B. ,
  • 58', Bryant E. , Tainio M. ,
  • 63', Gay H. , Cisneros J. ,
  • 63', Cerro I. , Garcia C. ,
  • 63', Rosa A. , O'Dwyer C. ,
  • 68', 1 - 0, Garcia C. ,
  • 69', Torrellas M. 🟨,
  • 78', Osorio J. , Mesias A. ,
  • 78', Bachstein D. , Miglietti G. ,
  • 80', Miglietti G. 🟨,
  • 85', McLaughlin G. , Karani S. ,
  • 85', Pettersen J. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 90', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Bolanos J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Karani S. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 2 - 0, Garcia C. ,

Chances of winning


Naples
42.5%
Draw
29.3%
Sarasota Paradise
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 27.5% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Sarasota Paradise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Naples - Sarasota Paradise Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (1.98)
    3.13
    (3.31)
    3.27
    (3.42)
    8.8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
    • Naples is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sarasota Paradise may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Naples has had a series of home games.
    • Naples could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naples won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Naples - Sarasota Paradise were as follows:
    18.03.2025 Sarasota Paradise - Naples 1:2
    Latest results of Naples
    31.03.2026 Naples - America CFL Spurs 3:0
    28.03.2026 Naples - Forward Madison 0:1
    21.03.2026 Richmond Kickers - Naples 0:1
    18.03.2026 Naples - Red Force FC 3:0
    Latest results of Sarasota Paradise
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1One Knoxville852112:6617
    2Union Omaha750212:7515
    3Spokane Velocity742111:8314
    4FC Naples84229:7214
    5Boise632112:7511
    6Forward Madison53118:5310
    7Portland Hearts of Pine62317:439
    8Westchester SC721412:14-27
    9Richmond Kickers62135:7-27
    10New York Cosmos721412:16-47
    11Sarasota Paradise82157:13-67
    12Greenville52038:9-16
    13Charlotte Independ512210:825
    14Fort Wayne51225:8-35
    15Chattanooga Red Wolves41125:6-14
    16AV Alta60427:11-44
    17Corpus Christi FC60335:11-63

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)