Naples vs Sarasota Paradise – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
11/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.010.66
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
70
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
44
Passes
80% (305/382)77% (305/394)
Yellow cards
34
Expected goals (xG)
1.010.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.670.00
Total shots
127
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
63
Shots outside the box
64
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1918
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1115
Passes
80% (305/382)77% (305/394)
Long passes
52% (32/62)41% (33/81)
Passes in final third
73% (90/124)60% (58/96)
Crosses
21% (6/29)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.35
Throw ins
2414
Fouls
1511
Tackles
83% (10/12)70% (14/20)
Duels won
4344
Clearances
2727
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
05
xGOT faced
0.001.67
Goals prevented
0.00-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Walker A. 🟨,
  • 36', Bachstein D. 🟨,
  • 41', Strumeier J. , Glasser M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', Cence M. , Krueger B. ,
  • 58', Bryant E. , Tainio M. ,
  • 63', Gay H. , Cisneros J. ,
  • 63', Cerro I. , Garcia C. ,
  • 63', Rosa A. , O'Dwyer C. ,
  • 68', 1 - 0, Garcia C. ,
  • 69', Torrellas M. 🟨,
  • 78', Osorio J. , Mesias A. ,
  • 78', Bachstein D. , Miglietti G. ,
  • 80', Miglietti G. 🟨,
  • 85', McLaughlin G. , Karani S. ,
  • 85', Pettersen J. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 90', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Bolanos J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Karani S. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 2 - 0, Garcia C. ,

Chances of winning


Naples
42.5%
Draw
29.3%
Sarasota Paradise
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 27.5% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Sarasota Paradise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Naples - Sarasota Paradise Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (1.98)
    3.13
    (3.31)
    3.27
    (3.42)
    8.8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
    • Naples is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sarasota Paradise may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Naples has had a series of home games.
    • Naples could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naples won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Naples - Sarasota Paradise were as follows:
    18.03.2025 Sarasota Paradise - Naples 1:2
    Latest results of Naples
    31.03.2026 Naples - America CFL Spurs 3:0
    28.03.2026 Naples - Forward Madison 0:1
    21.03.2026 Richmond Kickers - Naples 0:1
    18.03.2026 Naples - Red Force FC 3:0
    Latest results of Sarasota Paradise
    USL League One Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Naples64118:3513
    2Spokane Velocity641111:8313
    3Union Omaha54019:5412
    4One Knoxville63217:5211
    5Westchester SC521212:937
    6Greenville42028:716
    7Forward Madison32013:216
    8New York Cosmos52039:11-26
    9Portland Hearts of Pine41213:215
    10Boise41216:605
    11Charlotte Independ31117:434
    12Chattanooga Red Wolves31114:404
    13Fort Wayne41123:6-34
    14Sarasota Paradise61144:9-54
    15AV Alta60427:11-44
    16Corpus Christi FC40224:9-52
    17Richmond Kickers40132:6-41

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)