Dominican Republic vs USA, World Baseball Classic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Baseball Classic - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 2
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport, Oneplay
japanJapanNetflix
mexicoMexicoFOX One
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 1
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One

Match Stats

Hits
87
Errors
10
2B - double
21
3B - triple
00
Home runs
12
Runs batted in
12
Left on base
86
Base on balls
11
Strikeouts
815
Stolen bases
10
At bat
3333
Batting average
0.2420.212

Chances of winning


Dominican Republic
47.8%
USA
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8% 57.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dominican Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dominican Republic's performance.
  • USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and USA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominican Republic than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Dominican Republic - USA Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.31)

    1.82
    (1.65)
    4.6%
    (3.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Dominican Republic - USA?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Dominican Rep will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). USA will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dominican Rep: 32%80.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dominican Rep (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 6:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dominican Rep won 1.
    • Dominican Rep has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • USA is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • USA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dominican Rep won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 39:48. (average 4.9:6).
    Latest results of Dominican Republic
    Latest results of USA
    13.03.2026 Canada - USA 3:5
    10.03.2026 USA - Italy 6:8
    09.03.2026 USA - Mexico 5:3
    07.03.2026 USA - Great Britain 9:1
    06.03.2026 Brazil - USA 5:15
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Dominican Republic (D1)South Korea (C2)10 : 0
    2Canada (A1)USA (B2)3 : 5
    3Italy (B1)Puerto Rico (A2)8 : 6
    4Japan (C1)Venezuela (D2)5 : 8

    Semi-finals
    1Dominican Republic (D1)USA (B2)1 : 2
    2Italy (B1)Venezuela (D2)2 : 4

    Final
    1USA (B2)Venezuela (D2)2 : 3