Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Rei Sakamoto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
20/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats

Aces
2117
Double Faults
20
1st serve percentage
79%67%
1st serve points won
80% (57/71)85% (44/52)
2nd serve points won
47% (9/19)65% (17/26)
Break Points Saved
1/20/1
1st return points won
17% (9/52)24% (17/71)
2nd return points won
35% (9/26)53% (10/19)
Break Points Converted
1/11/2
Winners
3228
Unforced errors
3012
Net points won
75% (3/4)60% (3/5)
Service Points Won
74% (65/88)78% (61/78)
Return Points Won
22% (17/78)26% (23/88)
Total Points Won
49% (82/166)51% (84/166)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
40
Service games won
94% (15/16)93% (14/15)
Return games won
7% (1/15)6% (1/16)
Total games won
52% (16/31)48% (15/31)

Chances of winning


Aleksandar Kovacevic
60.8%
Rei Sakamoto
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aleksandar Kovacevic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aleksandar Kovacevic than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Aleksandar Kovacevic - Rei Sakamoto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.55)

    2.44
    (2.23)
    4.9%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Aleksandar Kovacevic - Rei Sakamoto?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Kovacevic will win (votes: 21 - 87.5%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kovacevic: 74.3%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aleksandar Kovacevic will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kovacevic is ranked ATP: 92. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 164.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Kovacevic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Latest results of Rei Sakamoto
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Marozsan F.Fonseca J.1 : 2
    3Mpetshi Perricard G.Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    4ByeKorda S. (32)
    5Darderi L. (17)Bye
    6Giron M.Landaluce M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Duckworth J.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    8ByeKhachanov K. (14)
    9Ruud C. (11)Bye
    10Quinn E.Hurkacz H.2 : 0
    11Kouame M. (WC)Svajda Z. (Q)2 : 1
    12ByeLehecka J. (21)
    13Draper J. (25)Bye
    14Opelka R.Borges N.2 : 1
    15Shapovalov D.Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    16ByeFritz T. (6)
    17Vukic A. (LL)Bye
    18Jodar R. (Q)Hanfmann Y. (Q)2 : 1
    19Bergs Z.Brooksby J.2 : 0
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (29)
    21Paul T. (22)Bye
    22Zhang Z. (PR)Mannarino A.0 : 2
    23Collignon R.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    24ByeCobolli F. (13)
    25Bublik A. (10)Bye
    26Muller A.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    27Basilashvili N. (Q)Navone M.0 : 2
    28ByeVacherot V. (24)
    29Fils A. (28)Bye
    30Blanch Dar. (WC)Struff J-L.2 : 1
    31Tsitsipas S.Fery A. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    33Shelton B. (8)Bye
    34Arnaldi M.Shevchenko A.
    35Diallo G.Wu Y. (WC)
    36ByeHumbert U. (31)
    37Cerundolo F. (18)Bye
    38Royer V.Tirante T. A. (LL)1 : 2
    39Kovacevic A.Sakamoto R. (WC)1 : 2
    40ByeMedvedev D. (9)
    41Davidovich Fokina A. (16)Bye
    42Halys Q.Draxl L. (Q)2 : 1
    43Majchrzak K.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    44ByeTien L. (20)
    45Nakashima B. (27)Bye
    46Cilic M.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    47Damm M. (WC)Fearnley J. (RET.)1 : 0
    48ByeZverev A. (3)
    49Auger-Aliassime F. (7)Bye
    50O'Connell C. (Q)Fucsovics M.0 : 2
    51Atmane T.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    52ByeRinderknech A. (26)
    53Tiafoe F. (19)Bye
    54Cazaux A.Barrios Vera T. (Q)
    55Walton A. (Q)Baez S.
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Rublev A. (15)Bye
    58Tabilo A.Comesana F.2 : 0
    59Michelsen A.Bellucci M. (Q)2 : 0
    60ByeNorrie C. (23)
    61Moutet C. (30)Bye
    62Nava E.Machac T.1 : 2
    63Buse I. (Q)Dzumhur D.1 : 2
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fonseca J.
    2Ugo Carabelli C.Korda S. (32)
    3Darderi L. (17)Landaluce M.
    4Bautista-Agut R.Khachanov K. (14)
    5Ruud C. (11)Quinn E.0 : 2
    6Kouame M.Lehecka J. (21)
    7Draper J. (25)Opelka R.
    8Van De Zandschulp B.Fritz T. (6)
    9Vukic A.Jodar R.
    10Bergs Z.Etcheverry T. M. (29)
    11Paul T. (22)Mannarino A.
    12Collignon R.Cobolli F. (13)
    13Bublik A. (10)Berrettini M.
    14Navone M.Vacherot V. (24)
    15Fils A. (28)Blanch Dar.
    16Tsitsipas S.De Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (8)TBD #34
    18TBD #35Humbert U. (31)
    19Cerundolo F. (18)Tirante T. A.
    20Sakamoto R.Medvedev D. (9)
    21Davidovich Fokina A. (16)Halys Q.
    22Majchrzak K.Tien L. (20)
    23Nakashima B. (27)Cilic M.
    24Damm M.Zverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (7)Fucsovics M.
    26Atmane T.Rinderknech A. (26)
    27Tiafoe F. (19)TBD #54
    28TBD #55Mensik J. (12)
    29Rublev A. (15)Tabilo A.
    30Michelsen A.Norrie C. (23)
    31Moutet C. (30)Machac T.
    32Dzumhur D.Sinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Quinn E.TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2