Rei Sakamoto vs Luca Van Assche – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
08/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
22
Double Faults
23
1st serve percentage
60%57%
1st serve points won
65% (32/49)72% (28/39)
2nd serve points won
41% (13/32)55% (16/29)
Break Points Saved
4/82/3
1st return points won
28% (11/39)35% (17/49)
2nd return points won
45% (13/29)59% (19/32)
Break Points Converted
1/34/8
Winners
2316
Unforced errors
5118
Net points won
67% (6/9)75% (6/8)
Service Points Won
56% (44/79)65% (44/68)
Return Points Won
35% (24/68)44% (35/79)
Total Points Won
46% (68/147)54% (79/147)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
64% (7/11)90% (9/10)
Return games won
10% (1/10)36% (4/11)
Total games won
38% (8/21)62% (13/21)

Chances of winning


Rei Sakamoto
30.7%
Luca Van Assche
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 60.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rei Sakamoto's form might have worsened.
  • Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Van Assche's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rei Sakamoto - Luca Van Assche Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.39)

    1.36
    (1.51)
    7%
    (8.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 165. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 94.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Van Assche may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Van Assche is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sakamoto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rei Sakamoto - Luca Van Assche were as follows:
    10.03.2026 Luca Van Assche - Rei Sakamoto 2:0
    18.06.2025 Luca Van Assche - Rei Sakamoto 2:0
    Latest results of Rei Sakamoto
    Latest results of Luca Van Assche