Gianluca Cadenasso vs Lautaro Midon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
20
1st serve percentage
74%57%
1st serve points won
67% (36/54)56% (24/43)
2nd serve points won
58% (11/19)39% (13/33)
Break Points Saved
3/55/11
1st return points won
44% (19/43)33% (18/54)
2nd return points won
61% (20/33)42% (8/19)
Break Points Converted
6/112/5
Winners
2215
Unforced errors
3341
Net points won
50% (6/12)100% (6/6)
Service Points Won
64% (47/73)49% (37/76)
Return Points Won
51% (39/76)36% (26/73)
Total Points Won
58% (86/149)42% (63/149)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
83% (10/12)45% (5/11)
Return games won
55% (6/11)17% (2/12)
Total games won
70% (16/23)30% (7/23)

Chances of winning


Gianluca Cadenasso
60.4%
Lautaro Midon
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 51.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gianluca Cadenasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gianluca Cadenasso's performance.
  • Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lautaro Midon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gianluca Cadenasso than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gianluca Cadenasso that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lautaro Midon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Gianluca Cadenasso - Lautaro Midon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (2.09)

    2.31
    (1.65)
    7.3%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Gianluca Cadenasso - Lautaro Midon?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cadenasso will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Midon will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Midon (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cadenasso is ranked ATP: 300. Midon is ranked ATP: 225.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Midon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Lautaro Midon
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Zarate C. M. (Q)2 : 0
    2Roncadelli F.Collarini A. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Aboian V. (Q)Schiessl J. E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Saraiva Dos Santos P. A. (Q)Reis Da Silva J. (5)1 : 2
    5Barrena A. (4)Kingsley C. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Dellien Velasco M. A.Nunez Vera A. S. (WC)2 : 0
    7Kestelboim M. (Alt)Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    8Justo G. I.Prado Angelo J. C. (7)0 : 2
    9Guillen Meza A. (6)Cadenasso G.0 : 2
    10Rodriguez Taverna S. (RET.)Ambrogi L. E. (Alt)1 : 1
    11Boscardin Dias P.Escurra Isnardi H. J. (WC)2 : 0
    12Huertas Del Pino C. (Q)Rocha H. (3)2 : 0
    13Bueno G. (8)Didoni Bonini J. P. (WC)2 : 0
    14Midon L.Villanueva G.2 : 0
    15Kicker N.Cigarran T. (Q)1 : 2
    16Olivieri G. A.Faria J. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Roncadelli F.0 : 2
    2Aboian V.Reis Da Silva J. (5)0 : 2
    3Barrena A. (4)Dellien Velasco M. A.2 : 1
    4Varillas J. P.Prado Angelo J. C. (7)2 : 1
    5Cadenasso G.Ambrogi L. E.2 : 0
    6Boscardin Dias P.Huertas Del Pino C.2 : 0
    7Bueno G. (8)Midon L.1 : 2
    8Cigarran T.Faria J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Roncadelli F.Reis Da Silva J. (5)2 : 1
    2Barrena A. (4)Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    3Cadenasso G.Boscardin Dias P.2 : 0
    4Midon L.Faria J. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Roncadelli F.Varillas J. P.2 : 1
    2Cadenasso G.Midon L.2 : 1

    Final
    1Roncadelli F.Cadenasso G.