Lautaro Midon vs Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
10/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Campinas, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
50
Double Faults
24
1st serve percentage
47%48%
1st serve points won
72% (26/36)57% (23/40)
2nd serve points won
51% (21/41)57% (25/44)
Break Points Saved
2/55/9
1st return points won
43% (17/40)28% (10/36)
2nd return points won
43% (19/44)49% (20/41)
Break Points Converted
4/93/5
Winners
2316
Unforced errors
3434
Net points won
60% (6/10)74% (14/19)
Service Points Won
61% (47/77)57% (48/84)
Return Points Won
43% (36/84)39% (30/77)
Total Points Won
52% (83/161)48% (78/161)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
04
Service games won
73% (8/11)64% (7/11)
Return games won
36% (4/11)27% (3/11)
Total games won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Lautaro Midon
40.4%
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7% 73.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lautaro Midon's performance.
  • Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lautaro Midon that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lautaro Midon - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.95)

    1.57
    (1.34)
    7%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Lautaro Midon - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio?
  • Users Predictions: Lautaro Midon will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.7%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lautaro Midon will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Midon is ranked ATP: 223. Varillas is ranked ATP: 286.
    • Midon is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Varillas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Midon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Varillas might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Midon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lautaro Midon - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio were as follows:
    24.02.2026 Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lautaro Midon 2:0
    15.01.2026 Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Lautaro Midon 2:1
    Latest results of Lautaro Midon