Dusan Obradovic vs Ergi Kirkin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
23/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Split - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
15
Double Faults
02
1st serve percentage
66%50%
1st serve points won
57% (23/40)77% (23/30)
2nd serve points won
38% (8/21)53% (16/30)
Break Points Saved
2/60/2
1st return points won
23% (7/30)43% (17/40)
2nd return points won
47% (14/30)62% (13/21)
Break Points Converted
2/24/6
Winners
2320
Unforced errors
2917
Net points won
57% (8/14)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
51% (31/61)65% (39/60)
Return Points Won
35% (21/60)49% (30/61)
Total Points Won
43% (52/121)57% (69/121)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
56% (5/9)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)44% (4/9)
Total games won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Dusan Obradovic
43%
Ergi Kirkin
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.8% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dusan Obradovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dusan Obradovic's form might have worsened.
  • Ergi Kirkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ergi Kirkin's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Obradovic than the current prediction. (+21.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dusan Obradovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (-21.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ergi Kirkin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dusan Obradovic - Ergi Kirkin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (1.38)

    1.63
    (2.77)
    7.3%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Dusan Obradovic - Ergi Kirkin?
  • Users Predictions: Ergi Kirkin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Obradovic is ranked ATP: 490. Kirkin is ranked ATP: 608.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Kirkin might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Dusan Obradovic
    Latest results of Ergi Kirkin
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Dodig M. (1)Langmo C. (Alt)2 : 1
    2Kirkin E. (Q)Kopp S.0 : 2
    3Poljicak M. (WC)Ivanisevic E. (WC)2 : 1
    4Krumich M.Gill F. (8)0 : 2
    5Neumayer L. (3)Martin Manzano J. C. (Q)2 : 0
    6Ajdukovic D.Campana Lee G. (Q)2 : 0
    7Rincon D.Mrva M.0 : 2
    8Krutykh O. (Q)Coppejans K. (6)0 : 2
    9Ferreira Silva F. (5)Michalski D.2 : 0
    10Berrettini J.Gueymard Wayenburg S.0 : 2
    11Nedic A.Sels J.2 : 0
    12Kuzmanov D.Fatic N. (4)2 : 0
    13Gentzsch T. (7)Forejtek J.2 : 0
    14Oetzbach A. (Q)Romano F. (Q)0 : 2
    15Simundza J. (WC)Coulibaly E.1 : 2
    16Vasilev A. (JR)Loffhagen G. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Dodig M. (1)Kopp S.2 : 1
    2Poljicak M.Gill F. (8)2 : 0
    3Neumayer L. (3)Ajdukovic D.2 : 0
    4Mrva M.Coppejans K. (6)1 : 2
    5Ferreira Silva F. (5)Gueymard Wayenburg S.1 : 2
    6Nedic A.Kuzmanov D.2 : 0
    7Gentzsch T. (7)Romano F.2 : 0
    8Coulibaly E.Vasilev A.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Dodig M. (RET.) (1)Poljicak M.0 : 0
    2Neumayer L. (3)Coppejans K. (6)0 : 2
    3Gueymard Wayenburg S.Nedic A.2 : 0
    4Gentzsch T. (7)Vasilev A.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Poljicak M.Coppejans K. (6)2 : 1
    2Gueymard Wayenburg S.Gentzsch T. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Poljicak M.Gentzsch T. (7)2 : 0