Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Jupiler Pro League Anderlecht - KV Mechelen
Result
4:1
26/01/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League - Round 23
  • Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaESPN 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaESPN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
franceFranceDAZN 2, DAZN France
germanyGermanySport 1+
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsSporza
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalDAZN 5
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
spainSpainGolStadium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+, SuperSport ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.041.93
Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
1413
Shots on Goal
87
Shots off Goal
64
Blocked Shots
02
Big Chances
63
Corner Kicks
25
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
20
Goalkeeper Saves
64
Free Kicks
96
Offsides
12
Fouls
69
Yellow Cards
02
Throw-ins
2121
Touches in the Opposition Box
2130
Passes
83% (333/399)84% (358/424)
Passes in the final third
64% (63/98)72% (77/107)
Crosses
28% (5/18)35% (7/20)
Tackles
61% (11/18)63% (10/16)
Clearances Total
2129
Interceptions
1010

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Goto K. , Hazard T. (A),
  • 40', Touba A. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 0, Simic J. , Verschaeren Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Marsa J. , Kiki ,
  • 46', Welsh S. , Antonio B. ,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Raman B. ,
  • 53', Antonio B. 🟨,
  • 67', 3 - 1, Verschaeren Y. , Rits M. (A),
  • 72', Goto K. , Stroeykens M. ,
  • 72', Rits M. , Hey L. ,
  • 72', Mrabti K. , Storm N. ,
  • 80', N'Diaye M. , Maamar A. ,
  • 80', Huerta Valera C. S. , Amuzu F. ,
  • 82', 4 - 1, Touba A. (Own goal),
  • 83', Raman B. , Lauberbach L. ,
  • 86', Verschaeren Y. , Leoni T. ,

Chances of winning


Anderlecht
46.4%
Draw
27.6%
KV Mechelen
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 24.7% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 24.5% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anderlecht's form might have worsened.
  • KV Mechelen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anderlecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Anderlecht - KV Mechelen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.83)
    3.44
    (3.84)
    3.67
    (4.01)
    5.2%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Anderlecht - KV Mechelen?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Mechelen will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Anderlecht: 57.7%92.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Anderlecht won 3.
    • Recent matches Anderlecht is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Mechelen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Mechelen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Anderlecht will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Anderlecht: Dolberg K. (Injury) Edozie S. (Muscle Injury) Vertonghen J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Mechelen: Falchou R. (Surgery)
    • There are questionable in Anderlecht: Ashimeru M. (Muscle Injury) Stroeykens M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mechelen: Foulon D. (Hamstring Injury) Storm N. (Knee Injury) Thoelen Y. (Toe Injury) Van den Eynden B. (Muscle Injury) Vanheusden Z. (Hernia)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Anderlecht won 7 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 40:30 (average 2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Anderlecht won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19:11 (average 2.1:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Anderlecht - KV Mechelen were as follows:
    17.08.2024 KV Mechelen - Anderlecht 1:3
    01.02.2024 KV Mechelen - Anderlecht 2:2
    07.10.2023 Anderlecht - KV Mechelen 3:1
    23.04.2023 Anderlecht - KV Mechelen 2:3
    09.10.2022 KV Mechelen - Anderlecht 1:3
    Latest results of Anderlecht
    Latest results of KV Mechelen
    18.01.2025 KV Mechelen - Genk 1:2
    20.12.2024 Westerlo - KV Mechelen 1:1
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St. Liege11002:023
    2Antwerp10101:101
    3KV Mechelen10101:101
    4Waregem10101:101
    5Royale Union SG10101:101
    6Cercle Brugge KSV10100:001
    7Dender10100:001
    8Leuven00000:000
    9Anderlecht00000:000
    10Charleroi00000:000
    11Club Brugge KV00000:000
    12Genk00000:000
    13Gent00000:000
    14St. Truiden00000:000
    15Westerlo00000:000
    16RAAL La Louviere10010:2-20

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