Result
3:1
12/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 32
- Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | DAZN |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Bolivia | DAZN |
Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Ecuador | DAZN |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
Paraguay | DAZN |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Taiwan | DAZN |
Uruguay | DAZN |
Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 2.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (495/594) | 70% (227/324) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 2.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (495/594) | 70% (227/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (18/50) | 33% (23/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (139/184) | 61% (54/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 2.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Kanga W. (Penalty Awarded),
- 37', Skoras M. 🟨,
- 43', De Cat N. ↓, Verschaeren Y. ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 59', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Kadri A. ↑,
- 67', Stroeykens M. ↓, Degreef T. ↑,
- 67', Llansana E. ↓, da Costa C. ↑,
- 78', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 1, Verschaeren Y. ⚽,
- 80', Dean M. ↓, Goore H. ↑,
- 88', Skoras M. ↓, Duverne J. ↑,
- 88', Kanga W. ↓, Cisse I. ↑,
- 89', Cvetkovic M. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Degreef T. ⚽,
- 90+6', 3 - 1, Bertaccini A. ⚽,
- 90+7', Bertaccini A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Anderlecht 41% | Draw 28.3% | Gent 30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anderlecht's form might have worsened.Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gent's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anderlecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gent, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Anderlecht - Gent Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.63 ↑ (1.92) |
3.65 ↓ (3.88) |
3.26 ↓ (3.72) |
-3.9% (4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Anderlecht - Gent?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Gent will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 4.
- Anderlecht is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gent is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Anderlecht is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 1.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Anderlecht won against Gent?
Anderlecht has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gent won against Anderlecht?
Gent has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Anderlecht - Gent were as follows:
18.01.2026
Gent
-
Anderlecht
4:2
15.01.2026
Anderlecht
-
Gent
1:0
23.09.2025
Anderlecht
-
Gent
1:0
27.04.2025
Gent
-
Anderlecht
0:1
23.04.2025
Anderlecht
-
Gent
5:0
Latest results of Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 39 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 38 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 29 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 25 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 24 |
| 6 | Gent | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )