Holstein Kiel vs Nürnberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
2:3
14/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 26
  • Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, ESPN
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.451.22
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
85
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
71
Passes
83% (394/473)71% (212/299)
Yellow cards
35
Expected goals (xG)
3.451.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.402.12
Total shots
229
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
81
Blocked shots
63
Shots inside the box
168
Shots outside the box
61
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
4514
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1318
Passes
83% (394/473)71% (212/299)
Long passes
53% (23/43)29% (18/62)
Passes in final third
70% (100/142)56% (38/68)
Crosses
26% (8/31)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.190.80
Throw ins
2617
Fouls
1813
Tackles
42% (5/12)58% (11/19)
Duels won
4564
Clearances
1644
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
2.122.40
Goals prevented
-0.880.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Justvan J. ⚽, Zoma M. A. (A),
  • 22', 0 - 2, Justvan J. ⚽, Lubach R. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 2, Kapralik A. ⚽,
  • 33', Nzingoula R. 🟨,
  • 35', Nekic I. 🟨,
  • 37', Schwab S. 🟨,
  • 42', Lubach R. 🟨,
  • 45+8', 2 - 2, Davidsen K. ⚽, Bernhardsson A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Nzingoula R. ↓, Maboulou N. ↑,
  • 54', Zec D. 🟨,
  • 60', Tohumcu U. ↓, Skrzybski S. ↑,
  • 66', Lubach R. ↓, Becker F. O. ↑,
  • 71', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
  • 72', 2 - 3, Zoma M. A. ⚽, Becker F. O. (A),
  • 77', Nekic I. ↓, Rosenboom L. ↑,
  • 77', Davidsen K. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
  • 79', Justvan J. ↓, Mkrtchyan S. ↑,
  • 83', Buchmann T. 🟨,
  • 86', Markhiev A. 🟨,
  • 86', Buchmann T. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
  • 86', Maboulou N. ↓, Scobel P. ↑,
  • 88', Becker F. O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Holstein Kiel
40.1%		Draw
28.3%		Nürnberg
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 27.4% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 26.9% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
    •

    Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.35 ↓
    (2.37)    		 3.31 ↓
    (3.41)    		 2.98 ↑
    (2.83)    		 6.2%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 25.1% – 83.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 3.
    • Holstein Kiel is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Nürnberg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Muller M. (Red Card) Skrzybski S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nürnberg: Gruber F. (Injury) von der Hitz J. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel 1:1
    06.04.2024 Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel 0:4
    29.10.2023 Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg 0:2
    15.04.2023 Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg 2:1
    09.10.2022 Nürnberg - Holstein Kiel 2:3
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    07.03.2026 Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel 2:0 ✺
    28.02.2026 Holstein Kiel - Elversberg 1:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel 3:1 ✺
    15.02.2026 Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04 1:2 ✺
    08.02.2026 Hannover - Holstein Kiel 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    07.03.2026 Nürnberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf 0:1 ✺
    01.03.2026 Hertha Berlin - Nürnberg 2:1 ✺
    20.02.2026 Bochum - Nürnberg 1:1 ✺
    13.02.2026 Nürnberg - Karlsruher 5:1 ✺
    07.02.2026 Paderborn - Nürnberg 2:1 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke ✔ 32207549:282167
    2Elversberg32178760:362459
    3Hannover321610656:401658
    4Paderborn32177855:431258
    5Darmstadt321312756:421451
    6Hertha Berlin321391044:37748
    7Kaiserslautern321441449:47246
    8Karlsruher SC321271350:60-1043
    9Nurnberg321191241:42-142
    10Holstein Kiel321181342:43-141
    11Bochum3210101246:45140
    12SG Dynamo Dresden321081451:50138
    13Arminia Bielefeld32991447:48-136
    14Magdeburg321131849:56-736
    15Braunschweig32971634:52-1834
    16Dusseldorf321041830:49-1934
    17Greuther Furth32971645:66-2134
    18Preussen Munster326111537:57-2029

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Schalke is Qualified for Bundesliga
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