Result
1:2
18/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 10
- Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (266/367) | 73% (258/354) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (266/367) | 73% (258/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (28/65) | 44% (34/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (59/106) | 52% (59/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 88% (15/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Zukic D. ⚽, Matic B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Matic B. ↓, Wohlmuth F. ↑,
- 53', Kiedl P. ↓, Mutandwa K. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Mutandwa K. ⚽, Havenaar N. (A),
- 62', Mayer J. 🟨,
- 63', Schopf A. ↓, Diabate C. ↑,
- 65', Nwaiwu C. 🟨,
- 70', Pink M. ↓, Kojzek E. ↑,
- 70', Zukic D. ↓, Avdijaj D. ↑,
- 72', Bajlicz N. ↓, Rossdorfer F. ↑,
- 84', van Wyk A. ↓, Boguo J. ↑,
- 86', Wohlmuth F. 🟨,
- 90+3', Diabate C. 🟥,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Mutandwa K. (Pen),
- 90+5', Mutandwa K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Wolfsberger
45.9% | Draw
28.2% | Ried
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wolfsberger's form might have worsened.Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wolfsberger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ried, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Wolfsberger - Ried Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(1.75) |
3.35 ↓
(3.74) |
3.68 ↓
(4.29) |
5.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Wolfsberger - Ried?
Users Predictions:
Wolfsberger will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsberger won 3.
- Wolfsberger has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ried has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Wolfsberger will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Wolfsberger: Skubl D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Ried: Kirnbauer D.
(Ankle Injury)
Mesic N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Wolfsberger: Atanga D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Ried: Scherzer J.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsberger won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsberger won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsberger won against Ried?
Wolfsberger has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ried won against Wolfsberger?
Ried has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsberger - Ried were as follows:
26.09.2023
Ried
-
Wolfsberger
1:2
02.06.2023
Ried
-
Wolfsberger
1:2
01.04.2023
Wolfsberger
-
Ried
1:0
19.03.2023
Ried
-
Wolfsberger
0:0
09.10.2022
Wolfsberger
-
Ried
1:2
Latest results of Wolfsberger
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Salzburg | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | SK Rapid | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Wolfsberger AC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 16 |
| 6 | Altach | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Ried | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Hartberg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | LASK | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:17 | -5 | 13 |
| 10 | Tirol | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | BW Linz | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 10 |
| 12 | Grazer AK | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6:20 | -14 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
