Result
1:0
29/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 15
- Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (275/368) | 75% (305/404) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.76 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (275/368) | 75% (305/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (25/64) | 45% (32/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (81/129) | 67% (83/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 69% (20/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 2.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Gattermayer A. ↓, Atanga D. ↑,
- 46', Kojzek E. ↓, Pink M. ↑,
- 56', Diabate C. 🟨,
- 59', Bajlicz N. ↓, Grosse M. ↑,
- 66', Matic B. ↓, Wohlmuth F. ↑,
- 75', van Wyk A. ↓, Boguo J. ↑,
- 89', Baumgartner D. ↓, Gruber T. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 0, Mutandwa K. ⚽, Sollbauer M. (A),
- 90+5', Gruber T. 🟨,
- 90+6', Renner R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ried
35.3% | Draw
28.9% | Wolfsberger
35.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Ried - Wolfsberger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(2.87) |
3.25 ↓
(3.28) |
2.64 ↑
(2.37) |
5.8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ried - Wolfsberger?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ried will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Wolfsberger will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsberger: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wolfsberger (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Wolfsberger (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Wolfsberger (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ried won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Ried: Bajic A.
(Yellow Cards)
Kiedl P.
(Knee Injury)
Mesic N.
(Knee Injury)
Stoger D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Wolfsberger: Nwaiwu C.
(Yellow Cards)
Skubl D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ried won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ried won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ried won against Wolfsberger?
Ried has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsberger won against Ried?
Wolfsberger has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ried - Wolfsberger were as follows:
18.10.2025
Wolfsberger
-
Ried
1:2
26.09.2023
Ried
-
Wolfsberger
1:2
02.06.2023
Ried
-
Wolfsberger
1:2
01.04.2023
Wolfsberger
-
Ried
1:0
19.03.2023
Ried
-
Wolfsberger
0:0
Latest results of Wolfsberger
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg ✔ | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 42:25 | 17 | 37 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz ✔ | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 35 |
| 3 | LASK ✔ | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 34 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna ✔ | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 33 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 32 |
| 6 | SK Rapid | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 30 |
| 7 | Altach | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:21 | 1 | 29 |
| 8 | Tirol | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 29:30 | -1 | 28 |
| 9 | Ried | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
| 10 | Wolfsberger AC ✔ | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 30:29 | 1 | 26 |
| 11 | Grazer AK ✔ | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 22:34 | -12 | 20 |
| 12 | BW Linz ✔ | 21 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19:35 | -16 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Salzburg is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Sturm Graz is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
LASK is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Austria Vienna is Qualified for Bundesliga (Championship Group )
Wolfsberger AC is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
Grazer AK is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
BW Linz is Bundesliga (Relegation Group )
