Result
30/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Croatia | Arena Sport |
France | Amazon Prime Video |
Serbia | Arena Sport |
United-kingdom | BT Sport |
Chances of winning
Troyes 19.5% | Draw 24.3% | Nice 56.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Troyes - Nice Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.89 ↑ (4.69) |
3.94 ↑ (3.76) |
1.7 ↓ (1.73) |
4.7% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Troyes - Nice?
Users Predictions:
41 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 4 - 9.8%). Nice will win (votes: 32 - 78%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 65.3% – 90.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 10).
- Troyes has the most likely position - 18 (60.93%), project points - 27, currently - 22, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Nice has the most likely position - 9 (25.92%), project points - 54, currently - 45, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 51, very small importance 1, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 2.
- Troyes is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Nice has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Troyes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Nice is a favorite.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Troyes won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-16.
- Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Nice?
Troyes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Troyes?
Nice has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Nice were as follows:
09.10.2022
Nice
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Troyes
3:2
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 43:16 | 27 | 48 |
| 2 | Lens | 20 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 34:16 | 18 | 46 |
| 3 | Marseille | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 46:22 | 24 | 39 |
| 4 | Lyon | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 39 |
| 5 | Lille | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 32 |
| 6 | Rennes | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 30:31 | -1 | 31 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 33:25 | 8 | 30 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 30 |
| 9 | Lorient | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:31 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 | Monaco | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 27 |
| 11 | Angers | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Brest | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 23 |
| 13 | Nice | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 22 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:34 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 16:25 | -9 | 20 |
| 16 | Nantes | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19:36 | -17 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14:29 | -15 | 13 |
| 18 | Metz | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21:46 | -25 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2