Result
2:2
23/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 32
- Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | Amazon Prime Video |
Chances of winning
Nantes
63% | Draw
21.8% | Troyes
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nantes's performance.Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nantes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Nantes - Troyes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.68) |
4.38 ↑
(3.86) |
6.29 ↑
(4.95) |
4.7%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nantes - Troyes?
Users Predictions:
Nantes will win
(45 of 53 users predict this - 84.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.27% – 94.55%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- Nantes has the most likely position - 14 (22.24%), project points - 40, currently - 31, a small chance of relegated (15%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Troyes has the most likely position - 18 (51.63%), project points - 26, currently - 21, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 47, small importance 25, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantes won 3.
- Recent matches Nantes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Troyes has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Nantes is a favorite.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Nantes won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-2.
- Including matches at home between the teams Nantes won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Troyes?
Nantes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Nantes?
Troyes has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Troyes were as follows:
28.12.2022
Troyes
-
Nantes
0:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 68:25 | 43 | 69 |
| 2 | Lens | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | Lyon | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 48:32 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Lille | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 50:34 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 56 |
| 6 | Marseille | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 59:41 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Monaco | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 54:47 | 7 | 51 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 49:39 | 10 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 42:47 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43:44 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Brest | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 40:47 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Nice | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35:57 | -22 | 30 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Nantes | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Metz | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 31:70 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
