Result
1:0
07/03/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 25
- Referee: Stalev D. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 45 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Kotev L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kotev L. ↓, Idowu D. ↑,
- 56', Idowu D. 🟨,
- 61', Ntelo M. ↓, Petkov M. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 0, Stoev M. ⚽, Malinov K. (A),
- 72', Velkovski D. 🟥,
- 74', Vutov A. ↓, Patrick Luan ↑,
- 74', Samake W. ↓, Velev V. ↑,
- 74', Karagaren B. ↓, Kabov A. ↑,
- 74', Genov D. ↓, Tsonev R. ↑,
- 89', Sanyang S. ↓, Stoyanov A. ↑,
- 89', Gallegos J. ↓, Smolenski M. ↑,
- 90', Stoychev M. ↓, Naydenov V. ↑,
- 90+3', Huseynov C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Botev Vratsa 26.5% | Draw 32.7% | Arda Kardzhali 40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botev Vratsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Botev Vratsa - Arda Kardzhali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.47 ↑ (3.13) |
2.83 ↑ (2.81) |
2.29 ↓ (2.42) |
7.9% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Botev Vratsa - Arda Kardzhali?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Botev Vratsa will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Arda will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arda: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arda (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botev Vratsa won 2.
- Botev Vratsa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Arda is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Botev Vratsa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Botev Vratsa won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botev Vratsa won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Botev Vratsa won against Arda Kardzhali?
Botev Vratsa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arda Kardzhali won against Botev Vratsa?
Arda Kardzhali has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botev Vratsa - Arda Kardzhali were as follows:
11.02.2026
Botev Vratsa
-
Arda Kardzhali
2:3
28.09.2025
Arda Kardzhali
-
Botev Vratsa
0:2
19.04.2025
Botev Vratsa
-
Arda Kardzhali
3:1
08.11.2024
Arda Kardzhali
-
Botev Vratsa
2:0
10.03.2024
Botev Vratsa
-
Arda Kardzhali
1:2
Latest results of Botev Vratsa
Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia ✔ | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 58:18 | 40 | 62 |
| 2 | Ludogorets | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 49:18 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 31:17 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Lok. Plovdiv | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 26:31 | -5 | 38 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 32:29 | 3 | 35 |
| 8 | Arda | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 11 | Botev Plovdiv | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
| 12 | Dobrudzha | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 21:35 | -14 | 25 |
| 13 | Spartak Varna | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 23:40 | -17 | 23 |
| 14 | Septemvri Sofia | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 21 |
| 15 | Beroe ✔ | 26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 17:39 | -22 | 19 |
| 16 | Montana ✔ | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 14:41 | -27 | 16 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )