Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Arda Kardzhali
44.5%
Draw
31.4%
Cherno More Varna
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 33.3% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 29.8% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arda Kardzhali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Cherno More Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arda Kardzhali that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.16)
    2.95
    (2.77)
    3.81
    (3.85)
    8.2%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Arda (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arda (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arda won 1.
    • Recent performances by Arda have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cherno More is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Arda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Arda has had a series of home games.
    • Arda might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arda won 4 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arda won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna were as follows:
    04.03.2026 Cherno More Varna - Arda Kardzhali 0:0
    12.12.2025 Cherno More Varna - Arda Kardzhali 0:3
    22.09.2025 Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna 0:1
    18.05.2025 Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More Varna 0:0
    04.05.2025 Cherno More Varna - Arda Kardzhali 1:1
    Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
    Latest results of Cherno More Varna
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia31234467:234473
    2CSKA 1948 Sofia31195752:322062
    3Ludogorets31179558:223660
    4CSKA Sofia31168744:261856

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