Result
0:4
02/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 9
- Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.74 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (315/379) | 86% (424/493) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 3.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (315/379) | 86% (424/493) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (18/36) | 60% (44/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (68/108) | 80% (95/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.13 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 21', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 23', 0 - 1, Bernard ⚽,
- 30', 0 - 2, Reinier ⚽, Hulk (A),
- 35', 0 - 3, Cuello ⚽, Reinier (A),
- 43', Victor Caetano 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, Higor Meritao ↑,
- 46', Victor Caetano ↓, Enio ↑,
- 46', Italo ↓, Ramirez K. ↑,
- 67', Reinier ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 67', Bernard ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
- 76', Bolasie Y. ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
- 81', Victor Hugo ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 81', Hulk ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
- 86', Lodi R. ↓, Pascini K. ↑,
- 90+5', 0 - 4, Dudu ⚽, Cuello (A),
Chances of winning
Chapecoense
27.8% | Draw
29.5% | Atlético Mineiro
42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chapecoense's form might have worsened.Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Chapecoense - Atlético Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.4 ↑
(2.85) |
3.21 ↓
(3.42) |
2.22 ↓
(2.45) |
5.6%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Chapecoense - Atlético Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chapecoense: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias
(Knee Injury)
Everton
(Red Card)
Mancha
(Knee Injury)
Mauricio Garcez
(Hamstring Injury)
Robert Conceicao
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Alexsander
(Knee Injury)
Maycon
(Calf Injury)
Vitor Hugo
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Chapecoense: Ramirez K.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chapecoense won against Atlético Mineiro?
Chapecoense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Chapecoense?
Atlético Mineiro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chapecoense - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
Latest results of Chapecoense
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Fluminense | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Bahia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Sao Paulo | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Flamengo RJ | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 14 |
| 8 | Vasco | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Atletico-MG | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Gremio | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | Bragantino | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Santos | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Botafogo RJ | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Internacional | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Chapecoense-SC | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 | Mirassol | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 | Remo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
