Result
1:2
03/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 78% | 22% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (491/557) | 60% (94/157) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 2.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (491/557) | 60% (94/157) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (36/55) | 36% (16/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (131/173) | 53% (30/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 75% (15/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Lastre E. ⚽, Chipao R. (A),
- 17', Enciso C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 0 - 2, Mejia C. ⚽,
- 53', 1 - 2, Tavara M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', Tavara M. ↓, Castillo G. ↑,
- 58', Iberico L. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 62', Amasifuen N. 🟨,
- 72', Lastre E. ↓, Davila A. ↑,
- 72', Cristiano ↓, del Valle Y. ↑,
- 72', Avila I. ↓, Vizeu F. ↑,
- 76', Mejia C. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
- 83', Wisdom I. ↓, Burga J. ↑,
- 83', Chipao R. ↓, Lojas J. ↑,
- 84', Collazos J. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
- 85', Cazonatti G. 🟨,
- 87', Zapata Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sporting Cristal
75.3% | Draw
17.6% | Moquegua
7.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Cristal's performance.Moquegua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Cristal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moquegua than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Sporting Cristal - Moquegua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.23 ↓
(1.37) |
5.39 ↑
(4.32) |
13.23 ↑
(7.63) |
7.3%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Moquegua?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Sporting Cristal (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting Cristal (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 16).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Sporting Cristal is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Gabriel
(Injury)
Gonzales C.
(Knee Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Moquegua?
Sporting Cristal has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moquegua won against Sporting Cristal?
Moquegua has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Moquegua were as follows:
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Latest results of Moquegua
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18:10 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 20 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Cusco | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Moquegua | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | AD Tarma | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Sport Boys | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Grau | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
