Lecce vs Roma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce).

Serie A - Round 30
Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Online, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	1.63
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
17	16
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
6	6
Passes
78% (281/359)	82% (368/447)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	1.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.33	1.22
Total shots
17	16
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
11	6
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
9	11
Shots outside the Box
8	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
6	6
Touches in opposition box
22	38
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
11	6
Passes
78% (281/359)	82% (368/447)
Long passes
31% (17/54)	38% (20/52)
Passes in final third
74% (74/100)	76% (102/134)
Crosses
35% (7/20)	29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.55	1.02
Fouls
6	11
Tackles
60% (12/20)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
51	41
Clearances Total
23	26
Interceptions
5	5
Errors leading to shot
3	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4
xGOT faced
1.22	0.33
Goals prevented
0.22	0.33

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Karlsson J. 🟨,
58', Karlsson J. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
58', Pierotti S. ↓, Banda L. ↑,
72', Helgason T. J. ↓, Berisha M. ↑,
72', Coulibaly L. ↓, Kaba M. ↑,
72', Pellegrini Lo. ↓, Baldanzi T. ↑,
72', Soule M. ↓, Shomurodov E. ↑,
75', Baldanzi T. 🟨,
78', Saelemaekers A. 🟨,
80', 0 - 1, Dovbyk A. ⚽, Cristante B. (A),
84', Dovbyk A. ↓, El Shaarawy S. ↑,
84', Saelemaekers A. ↓, Pisilli N. ↑,
84', Ramadani Y. ↓, Rebic A. ↑,
90+6', Ranieri C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Lecce
19.3%

Draw
27.2%

Roma
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

27.2%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

27.3%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Roma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Lecce - Roma Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.96 ↑ (4.31)	3.52 ↑ (3.52)	1.8 ↓ (1.9)	4.1% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Lecce - Roma?

Users Predictions: Roma will win (90 of 97 users predict this - 92.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.63% – 97.93%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lecce won 0.
Lecce has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Roma is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Lecce could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Roma is a favorite.
There will not play in Lecce: Gonzalez J. (Heart Problems) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Roma: Abdulhamid S. (Thigh Injury) Celik Z. (Thigh Injury) Dybala P. (Thigh Injury) Rensch D. (Thigh Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:19 (average 1:2.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Lecce won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Roma?

Lecce has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Roma won against Lecce?

Roma has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Roma were as follows:

07.12.2024 Roma - Lecce 4:1

01.04.2024 Lecce - Roma 0:0

05.11.2023 Roma - Lecce 2:1

11.02.2023 Lecce - Roma 1:1

09.10.2022 Roma - Lecce 2:1

Latest results of Lecce

14.03.2025 Genoa - Lecce 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Lecce - Milan 2:3 ✺

28.02.2025 Fiorentina - Lecce 1:0 ✺

21.02.2025 Lecce - Udinese 0:1 ✺

16.02.2025 Monza - Lecce 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Roma

13.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Roma 3:1 ✺

09.03.2025 Empoli - Roma 0:1 ✺

06.03.2025 Roma - Athletic Bilbao 2:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Roma - Como 2:1 ✺

24.02.2025 Roma - Monza 4:0 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Pisa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Cremonese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Inter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Torino	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Parma	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Verona	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Como	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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      Relegation ~ Serie B