Result
0:2
16/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 25
- Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Argentina | DAZN, Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, FuboTV |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Sport 1 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | ONE Sport 2, Sport 4 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 2 |
 Kuwait | Shasha |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 35 Sports |
 Malaysia | Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovakia | Sport 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
 Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN, Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | DAZN, Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | TV 360, VTVcab |
 World | Starzplay Sports app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (346/440) | 72% (217/300) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (346/440) | 72% (217/300) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (17/44) | 39% (23/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (64/98) | 61% (49/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.97 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (10/20) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.03 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 57', Pavoletti L. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
- 57', Zappa G. ↓, Mazzitelli L. ↑,
- 65', 0 - 1, Gandelman O. ⚽, Sottil R. (A),
- 76', 0 - 2, Ramadani Y. ⚽, Coulibaly L. (A),
- 79', Obert A. ↓, Trepy Y. ↑,
- 80', Cheddira W. ↓, Stulic N. ↑,
- 80', Sottil R. ↓, Ndaba C. ↑,
- 86', Pierotti S. ↓, Siebert J. ↑,
- 86', Gandelman O. ↓, Ngom O. ↑,
- 90+2', Coulibaly L. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cagliari
39.6% | Draw
33.4% | Lecce
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cagliari's form might have worsened.Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cagliari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Cagliari - Lecce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↑
(2.05) |
2.87 ↓
(3.12) |
3.53 ↓
(4.01) |
4.7%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Cagliari - Lecce?
Users Predictions:
57 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 42 - 73.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 3 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 62.3% – 85.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Cagliari (1.98) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Cagliari (1.30) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Cagliari (3.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Cagliari (2.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Cagliari (2.38) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH 0 - Cagliari (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Cagliari (1.58) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.5 - Lecce (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cagliari will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 30 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 26 - 86.7%). Lecce (votes: 2 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 2.
- Cagliari has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lecce's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lecce may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cagliari is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Cagliari: Belotti A.
(Knee Injury)
Borrelli G.
(Thigh Injury)
Deiola A.
(Injury)
Felici M.
(Knee Injury)
Folorunsho M.
(Knee Injury)
Gaetano G.
(Injury)
Pedro J.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Lecce: Banda L.
(Yellow Cards)
Berisha M.
(Injury)
Camarda F.
(Injury)
Perez M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cagliari won against Lecce?
Cagliari has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Cagliari?
Lecce has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cagliari - Lecce were as follows:
19.09.2025
Lecce
-
Cagliari
1:2
19.01.2025
Cagliari
-
Lecce
4:1
31.08.2024
Lecce
-
Cagliari
1:0
05.05.2024
Cagliari
-
Lecce
1:1
06.01.2024
Lecce
-
Cagliari
1:1
Latest results of Cagliari
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter ✔ | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 80:31 | 49 | 79 |
| 2 | Napoli | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 69 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 48:27 | 21 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 57:29 | 28 | 64 |
| 5 | Como | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 59:28 | 31 | 61 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 48:29 | 19 | 61 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47:32 | 15 | 54 |
| 8 | Lazio | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:33 | 4 | 48 |
| 9 | Bologna | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 42:41 | 1 | 48 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 41:44 | -3 | 46 |
| 11 | Udinese | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:46 | -5 | 44 |
| 12 | Parma | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 42 |
| 13 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:56 | -17 | 41 |
| 14 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 38:45 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 36:49 | -13 | 36 |
| 17 | Lecce | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 22:46 | -24 | 29 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 26:51 | -25 | 28 |
| 19 | Verona | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 23:56 | -33 | 19 |
| 20 | Pisa | 34 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 24:61 | -37 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
