Result
1:2
28/03/2026 at 23:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Miyazaki - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 53% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 62% (41/66) | 67% (38/57) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 52% (26/50) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 10/15 | 6/10 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 33% (19/57) | 38% (25/66) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 48% (24/50) | 50% (21/42) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/10 | 5/15 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 65 | 49 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 80% (4/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (62/108) | 60% (64/107) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (43/107) | 43% (46/108) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (105/215) | 51% (110/215) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 33% (5/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 47% (14/30) | 53% (16/30) |
Chances of winning
Axel Nefve
30.7% | Koki Matsuda
69.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Axel Nefve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Koki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Axel Nefve than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Axel Nefve, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Koki Matsuda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Axel Nefve - Koki Matsuda Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.58) |
|
1.34 ↓
(1.4) |
7.7%
(10.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Axel Nefve - Koki Matsuda?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Matsuda will win (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Nefve is ranked ATP: 810. Matsuda is ranked ATP: 530.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Matsuda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Matsuda might have a minor edge in this game.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Axel Nefve won against Koki Matsuda?
Axel Nefve has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Koki Matsuda won against Axel Nefve?
Koki Matsuda has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Axel Nefve - Koki Matsuda were as follows:
Latest results of Axel Nefve
Latest results of Koki Matsuda
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Holmgren A. (1) | Oki Y. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Shimizu Y. | Ilagan A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Matsuoka H. | Samrej K. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Broady L. | Uchida K. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Zhou Y. (4) | Takahashi Y. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Overbeck C. E. (Q) | Milic O. (NG) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Ellis B. (PR) | Honda N. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Jones M. | Sun F. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Wendelken H. (7) | Boulais J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Nam Ji S. (Q) | Shick B. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Jasika O. | Tu L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Tokuda R. | Hsu Y. H. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Noguchi R. (6) | Wu Tung-Lin | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Taguchi R. (WC) | Jubb P. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Moriya H. (Q) | Matsuda K. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Trotter J. K. | Added D. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Oki Y. (RET.) | Ilagan A. | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Matsuoka H. | Broady L. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Zhou Y. (4) | Milic O. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Ellis B. | Jones M. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Wendelken H. (7) | Shick B. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Jasika O. | Hsu Y. H. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Wu Tung-Lin | Jubb P. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Moriya H. | Trotter J. K. | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ilagan A. | Broady L. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Milic O. (RET.) | Ellis B. | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Wendelken H. (7) | Hsu Y. H. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Wu Tung-Lin | Moriya H. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Broady L. | Ellis B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Wendelken H. (7) | Wu Tung-Lin | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Broady L. | Wendelken H. (7) | |
