Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gaston – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
31/03/2026 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
44
1st serve percentage
74%48%
1st serve points won
63% (42/67)50% (21/42)
2nd serve points won
39% (9/23)48% (22/46)
Break Points Saved
9/136/11
1st return points won
55% (23/42)37% (25/67)
2nd return points won
52% (24/46)61% (14/23)
Break Points Converted
5/114/13
Winners
2027
Unforced errors
2749
Net points won
64% (14/22)79% (15/19)
Service Points Won
57% (51/90)49% (41/83)
Return Points Won
51% (42/83)43% (39/90)
Total Points Won
54% (93/173)46% (80/173)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
64% (7/11)55% (6/11)
Return games won
45% (5/11)36% (4/11)
Total games won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Luca Van Assche
57.7%
Hugo Gaston
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1% 39.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Van Assche's form might have worsened.
  • Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hugo Gaston's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Luca Van Assche - Hugo Gaston Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.46)

    2.24
    (2.58)
    5%
    (7.3%)
    What is the prediction for Luca Van Assche - Hugo Gaston?
  • Users Predictions: Hugo Gaston will win (22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.61%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hugo Gaston will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Van Assche is ranked ATP: 106. Gaston is ranked ATP: 107.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Gaston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Van Assche is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Luca Van Assche
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    06.03.2026 Hugo Gaston - Moise Kouame 2:1
    05.03.2026 Hugo Gaston - Keegan Smith 2:1
    03.03.2026 Hugo Gaston - Daniil Glinka Glinka D. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bye
    2Bellucci M.Bennani R. (WC)2 : 1
    3Bennani K. (WC)Halys Q.2 : 1
    4De Jong J.Hanfmann Y. (8)0 : 2
    5Moutet C. (3)Bye
    6Vukic A.Baadi T. (WC)1 : 2
    7Rocha H. (Q)Trungelliti M. (Q)0 : 2
    8Cerundolo J. M.Majchrzak K. (5)1 : 2
    9Kopriva V. (6)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    10Cina F. (NG)Muller A.0 : 2
    11Jodar R.Lajovic D. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (4)
    13Buse I. (7)Berrettini M.2 : 1
    14Skatov T. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    15van Assche L.Gaston H.2 : 0
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bellucci M.2 : 0
    2Bennani K.Hanfmann Y. (8)1 : 2
    3Moutet C. (3)Baadi T.2 : 0
    4Trungelliti M.Majchrzak K. (5)2 : 0
    5Kopriva V. (6)Muller A.0 : 2
    6Jodar R.Machac T. (4)2 : 1
    7Buse I. (7)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    8van Assche L.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Darderi L. (WO.) (1)Hanfmann Y. (8)
    2Moutet C. (3)Trungelliti M.
    3Muller A.Jodar R.
    4Ugo Carabelli C.van Assche L.

    Semi-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2