Nacional Montevideo vs Central Español – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
03/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
69%31%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
32
Corner kicks
40
Yellow cards
23
Total shots
104
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
72
Corner kicks
40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2', Coates S. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Navarro S. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Montiel M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bais F. , Rodriguez N. ,
  • 54', 0 - 1, Munoz F. ,
  • 57', Ancheta E. , Pintado J. ,
  • 57', Veron T. , Lopez N. ,
  • 62', Aguilera M. , Muniz R. ,
  • 68', Lodeiro N. , De Los Santos J. ,
  • 74', Alonso M. , Dupont J. ,
  • 74', Tarragona R. , Pino L. ,
  • 80', Boggio L. , Barcia B. ,
  • 81', Munoz F. , Sosa F. ,
  • 88', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Rodolfo 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
65.3%
Draw
21.3%
Central Español
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.1% 20% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7% 19% 12.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Central Español has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Central Español Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.39)
    4.37
    (4.67)
    7.02
    (7.25)
    7.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Nacional won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1072118:9923
    2Penarol1071217:8922
    3Maldonado1061315:10519
    4Central Esp1052314:11317
    5Nacional1051414:11316
    6Montevideo City1043314:11315
    7Wanderers1042411:15-414
    8Albion1034313:12113
    9Liverpool M1034313:13013
    10Defensor Sp103437:7013
    11Cerro Largo1041512:13-113
    12Danubio1034312:13-113
    13Boston River103259:11-211
    14CA Cerro102265:14-98
    15Progreso101459:17-87
    16Juventud101189:17-84

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