Nacional Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
13/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
82
Corner kicks
32
Yellow cards
13
Red cards
12
Total shots
134
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
52
Corner kicks
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', Rogel A. 🟨,
  • 26', Mencia Hernandez D. J. 🟨,
  • 30', Zeballos J. 🟨,
  • 34', Freitas G. 🟥,
  • 42', Gomez M. 🟥,
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Silvera M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mencia Hernandez D. J. , Baju L. ,
  • 46', Vera M. , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 61', Rivero R. , Crucci E. ,
  • 61', Queiroz N. , Benitez S. ,
  • 65', Lopez N. , Veron T. ,
  • 65', Lodeiro N. , De Los Santos J. ,
  • 70', 2 - 0, Veron T. ,
  • 74', Formiliano F. 🟥,
  • 77', Boggio L. , Dos Santos A. ,
  • 77', Zeballos J. , Zazpe L. ,
  • 77', Baju L. , Garcia A. ,
  • 81', Luna J. 🟨,
  • 83', Silvera M. , Carneiro G. ,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
60.8%
Draw
24.3%
Montevideo Wanderers
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.4% 23.8% 12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5% 23.1% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Montevideo Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.45)
    3.89
    (3.85)
    6.22
    (7.18)
    7.2%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Nacional is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:16. (average 2.1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:9. (average 2.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo 0:0
    26.04.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers 3:1
    15.09.2024 Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo 0:2
    02.03.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers 3:0
    26.11.2023 Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers 3:1
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo1393122:111130
    2Maldonado1372421:15623
    3Penarol1372419:13623
    4Albion1364322:14822
    5Central Esp1363420:20021
    6Defensor Sp1355311:8320
    7Montevideo City1354419:14519
    8Nacional1361620:18219
    9Danubio1346317:17018
    10Liverpool M1345417:17017
    11Wanderers1352614:19-517
    12Cerro Largo1342713:16-314
    13Boston River1342711:17-614
    14Progreso1324711:20-910
    15CA Cerro132478:19-1110
    16Juventud1323813:20-79

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