Hiroki Moriya vs Koki Matsuda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
31/03/2026 at 02:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Miyazaki, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
07
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
60%72%
1st serve points won
71% (37/52)58% (38/65)
2nd serve points won
49% (17/35)36% (9/25)
Break Points Saved
2/47/12
1st return points won
42% (27/65)29% (15/52)
2nd return points won
64% (16/25)51% (18/35)
Break Points Converted
5/122/4
Winners
2217
Unforced errors
4644
Net points won
80% (12/15)67% (6/9)
Service Points Won
62% (54/87)52% (47/90)
Return Points Won
48% (43/90)38% (33/87)
Total Points Won
55% (97/177)45% (80/177)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
85% (11/13)62% (8/13)
Return games won
38% (5/13)15% (2/13)
Total games won
62% (16/26)38% (10/26)

Chances of winning


Hiroki Moriya
57.6%
Koki Matsuda
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hiroki Moriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Koki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Hiroki Moriya - Koki Matsuda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.72)

    2.22
    (1.98)
    7.1%
    (8.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Moriya is ranked ATP: 462. Matsuda is ranked ATP: 530.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Hiroki Moriya
    Latest results of Koki Matsuda
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Holmgren A. (1)Oki Y. (WC)1 : 2
    2Shimizu Y.Ilagan A.0 : 2
    3Matsuoka H.Samrej K.2 : 0
    4Broady L.Uchida K. (5)2 : 0
    5Zhou Y. (4)Takahashi Y. (LL)2 : 0
    6Overbeck C. E. (Q)Milic O. (NG)0 : 2
    7Ellis B. (PR)Honda N. (WC)2 : 1
    8Jones M.Sun F. (8)2 : 0
    9Wendelken H. (7)Boulais J. (Q)2 : 0
    10Nam Ji S. (Q)Shick B.0 : 2
    11Jasika O.Tu L. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tokuda R.Hsu Y. H. (3)0 : 2
    13Noguchi R. (6)Wu Tung-Lin0 : 2
    14Taguchi R. (WC)Jubb P.1 : 2
    15Moriya H. (Q)Matsuda K. (Q)2 : 1
    16Trotter J. K.Added D. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Oki Y. (RET.)Ilagan A.0 : 1
    2Matsuoka H.Broady L.1 : 2
    3Zhou Y. (4)Milic O.0 : 2
    4Ellis B.Jones M.2 : 1
    5Wendelken H. (7)Shick B.2 : 0
    6Jasika O.Hsu Y. H. (3)1 : 2
    7Wu Tung-LinJubb P.2 : 1
    8Moriya H.Trotter J. K.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Ilagan A.Broady L.0 : 2
    2Milic O. (RET.)Ellis B.1 : 0
    3Wendelken H. (7)Hsu Y. H. (3)2 : 0
    4Wu Tung-LinMoriya H.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Broady L.Ellis B.2 : 0
    2Wendelken H. (7)Wu Tung-Lin2 : 1

    Final
    1Broady L.Wendelken H. (7)