Mirassol vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1
  • Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2, ESPN 7
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilCaze TV, Paramount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 5
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 7
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2, ESPN 7
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanySportdigital1+
greeceGreeceERT Sports 2
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayESPN 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
spainSpainLaLiga+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 7, Inter
worldWorldOnefootball

Chances of winning


Mirassol
42.8%
Draw
31.3%
Lanús
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 30.3% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 31.7% 23.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mirassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Mirassol - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.08)
    2.98
    (3.1)
    3.64
    (3.81)
    6.6%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Mirassol - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Mirassol will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Lanús will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Lanús (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mirassol (votes: 1 - 50%). Lanús (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mirassol has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Lanús is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mirassol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Mirassol could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Lanús: Aquino D. (Inactive) Bou W. (Inactive) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Marcelino Moreno (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mirassol: Igor Carius (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lanús: Canale Dominguez J. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Lanús will win today's game, with odds of 3.73.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Mirassol
    01.04.2026 Botafogo RJ - Mirassol 3:2
    18.03.2026 Mirassol - Coritiba 0:1
    15.03.2026 Palmeiras - Mirassol 1:0
    Latest results of Lanús
    01.04.2026 Lanús - Platense 0:0
    21.03.2026 Vélez Sársfield - Lanús 0:1
    17.03.2026 Lanús - Newells Old Boys 5:0
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P00000:000
    2Flamengo RJ00000:000
    3Ind. Medellin00000:000
    4Cusco00000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima10100:001
    2U. de Deportes10100:001
    3Coquimbo00000:000
    4Nacional00000:000


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia11001:013
    2Fluminense10100:001
    3La Guaira10100:001
    4Bolivar10010:1-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors11002:113
    2Cruzeiro11001:013
    3U. Catolica10011:2-10
    4Barcelona SC10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians00000:000
    2Santa Fe00000:000
    3Penarol00000:000
    4Platense00000:000


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras00000:000
    2Junior00000:000
    3Sporting Cristal00000:000
    4Cerro Porteno00000:000


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito11001:013
    2Lanus00000:000
    3Mirassol00000:000
    4Always Ready10010:1-10


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central00000:000
    2Libertad Asuncion00000:000
    3Ind. del Valle00000:000
    4Universidad Central00000:000

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