Result
1:0
05/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2/J3 League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Lucas Barcelos ⚽,
- 28', Sumida S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Toya T. ↓, Nose R. ↑,
- 59', Sumida S. ↓, Dohi K. ↑,
- 60', Kitsui T. ↓, Masuda S. ↑,
- 64', Yamashita R. 🟨,
- 64', Takada S. ↓, Miyazaki J. ↑,
- 73', Kodama S. ↓, Kanuma N. ↑,
- 73', Thonny Anderson ↓, Kajiya Y. ↑,
- 79', Shimada T. ↓, Vinicius Souza ↑,
- 84', Kubo R. ↓, Wada H. ↑,
- 89', Lucas Barcelos ↓, Moyo M. ↑,
- 90+1', Vinicius Souza 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tokushima Vortis
41.2% | Draw
31.7% | Osaka
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tokushima Vortis's form might have worsened.Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osaka's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+17.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokushima Vortis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tokushima Vortis - Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(1.65) |
2.89 ↓
(4.04) |
3.38 ↓
(4.51) |
9.2%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tokushima Vortis - Osaka?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Tokushima will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
- Tokushima is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Osaka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Tokushima is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Tokushima will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokushima Vortis won against Osaka?
Tokushima Vortis has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osaka won against Tokushima Vortis?
Osaka has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokushima Vortis - Osaka were as follows:
Latest results of Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 J3 League Table
2026East A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21:6 | 26 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Blaublitz | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 22 |
| 4 | Montedio Yamagata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 5 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 6 | Sagamihara | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18:20 | 12 |
| 7 | Vanraure | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | 12 |
| 8 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:17 | 11 |
| 9 | Tochigi City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12:23 | 9 |
| 10 | Kusatsu | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:27 | 7 |
East B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Iwaki | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Kofu | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 3 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24:15 | 19 |
| 4 | Yamaga | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23:13 | 18 |
| 5 | Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 18 |
| 6 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 7 | Iwata | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 8 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15:28 | 8 |
| 10 | Nagano | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9:26 | 6 |
West A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tokushima | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Toyama | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25:15 | 21 |
| 3 | Kochi United | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Kanazawa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 14 |
| 6 | Ehime | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Kamatamare | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7:18 | 12 |
| 8 | Osaka | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Imabari | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Nara Club | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13:26 | 8 |
West B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 23 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 15 |
| 5 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 6 | Kumamoto | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Reilac Shiga | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8:18 | 7 |
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )
