Result
1:0
25/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2/J3 League - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Kitsui T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 0, Wakatsuki Y. ⚽, Moraes M. (A),
- 59', Kitsui T. ↓, Shimada T. ↑,
- 59', Nose R. ↓, Natsukawa Y. ↑,
- 70', Wakatsuki Y. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
- 71', Kubo R. ↓, Morimura S. ↑,
- 75', Arai T. ↓, Shirai E. ↑,
- 86', Iesaka Y. ↓, Sumida S. ↑,
- 87', Toya T. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
- 90+2', Okumura J. ↓, Ochiai R. ↑,
- 90+2', Shimabuku K. ↓, Hayakawa F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Albirex Niigata
36.4% | Draw
29.3% | Osaka
34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Albirex Niigata's form might have worsened.Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osaka's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Albirex Niigata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Albirex Niigata - Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.07) |
3.14 ↓
(3.36) |
2.69 ↓
(3.38) |
8.4%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Osaka?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
- In recent matches, Niigata has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Osaka is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Niigata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Osaka?
Albirex Niigata has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Osaka won against Albirex Niigata?
Osaka has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Osaka were as follows:
29.03.2026
Osaka
-
Albirex Niigata
0:1
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 J3 League Table
2026East A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 14 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 31:10 | 35 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 26:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Blaublitz | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19:13 | 28 |
| 4 | Sagamihara | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 5 | Montedio Yamagata | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Yokohama FC | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 28:26 | 18 |
| 7 | Kusatsu | 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 17:32 | 16 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 22:28 | 15 |
| 9 | Vanraure | 14 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Tochigi City | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16:31 | 15 |
East B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kofu | 14 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:9 | 29 |
| 2 | Iwaki | 14 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Omiya Ardija | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 30:21 | 24 |
| 4 | Gifu | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 5 | Fujieda MYFC | 14 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 19:20 | 23 |
| 6 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Yamaga | 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 25:19 | 19 |
| 8 | Iwata | 14 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20:34 | 11 |
| 10 | Nagano | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12:30 | 11 |
West A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Toyama | 14 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 34:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Tokushima | 14 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 32:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Kochi United | 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 22:19 | 27 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Ehime | 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 18:29 | 15 |
| 8 | Osaka | 14 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Imabari | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Kamatamare | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9:26 | 13 |
West B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 14 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29:9 | 37 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20:12 | 27 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 14 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:19 | 23 |
| 5 | Kumamoto | 14 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Oita Trinita | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17:16 | 18 |
| 7 | Gainare Tottori | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14:25 | 14 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8:20 | 13 |
| 10 | Ryukyu | 14 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 12 |
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )
