Result
1:4
08/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 2.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (456/535) | 82% (332/405) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 2.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 2.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (456/535) | 82% (332/405) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (20/41) | 46% (22/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (80/120) | 79% (86/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 28% (8/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.78 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.22 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Marichal N. ⚽, Bitello (A),
- 17', Gondou L. 🟥,
- 30', Marichal N. 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 2, Marichal N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Skopintsev D. ↓, Zaydenzal L. ↑,
- 52', Rubens 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 2, Moises ⚽, Joao Victor (A),
- 59', Arthur Gomes ↓, Marinkin T. ↑,
- 59', Rubens ↓, Gladyshev Y. ↑,
- 62', Barinov D. ↓, Matheus Alves ↑,
- 62', Gajic M. ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 3, Bitello ⚽, Tyukavin K. (A),
- 73', Tyukavin K. ↓, Kutitsky A. ↑,
- 74', Zaydenzal L. ↓, Sergeev I. ↑,
- 75', Oblyakov I. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
- 76', Glebov K. ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 4, Caceres J. ⚽, Sergeev I. (A),
- 85', Krugovoy D. ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
Chances of winning
CSKA Moscow 42.2% | Draw 26.5% | Dynamo Moscow 31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.27 ↑ (2.12) |
3.6 ↑ (3.45) |
3.06 ↓ (3.08) |
4.5% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 3.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Dynamo M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:34. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Dynamo Moscow?
CSKA Moscow has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Moscow won against CSKA Moscow?
Dynamo Moscow has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow were as follows:
06.02.2026
CSKA Moscow
-
Dynamo Moscow
1:1
17.08.2025
Dynamo Moscow
-
CSKA Moscow
1:3
16.04.2025
Dynamo Moscow
-
CSKA Moscow
0:0
06.04.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Dynamo Moscow
3:1
12.03.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Dynamo Moscow
2:1
Latest results of CSKA Moscow
Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 47:16 | 31 | 49 |
| 2 | Zenit | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 41:15 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 48:30 | 18 | 44 |
| 4 | Baltika | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:9 | 21 | 42 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34:24 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:28 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37:30 | 7 | 30 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 22 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 12:27 | -15 | 21 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22:40 | -18 | 21 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 20 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 18 |
| 16 | Sochi | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 20:52 | -32 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL