Result
1:1
21/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
- Referee: Abrasimov I. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (445/550) | 65% (176/270) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (445/550) | 65% (176/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (25/57) | 25% (17/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (136/175) | 54% (52/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (3/37) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.71 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 71 | 66 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.57 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', Musaev T. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 1, Ronaldo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kozlov D. ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
- 51', Moises 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 1, Musaev T. ⚽, Krugovoy D. (A),
- 62', Mironov A. 🟨,
- 68', Hankic H. ↓, Odoevski D. ↑,
- 75', Chistyakov D. ↓, Semenchuk D. ↑,
- 75', Golenkov E. ↓, Bayramyan K. ↑,
- 78', Musaev T. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
- 79', Ronaldo ↓, Langovich A. ↑,
- 86', Gajic M. ↓, Popovic M. ↑,
Chances of winning
CSKA Moscow
50.3% | Draw
27% | Rostov
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSKA Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
CSKA Moscow - Rostov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.69) |
3.57 ↓
(3.65) |
4.24 ↓
(4.8) |
3.8%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for CSKA Moscow - Rostov?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Rostov will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA: 29.6% – 90.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 3.
- CSKA is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rostov is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- CSKA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, CSKA is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:19. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 2.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has CSKA Moscow won against Rostov?
CSKA Moscow has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rostov won against CSKA Moscow?
Rostov has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CSKA Moscow - Rostov were as follows:
18.02.2026
CSKA Moscow
-
Rostov
3:1
14.09.2025
Rostov
-
CSKA Moscow
1:0
01.06.2025
Rostov
-
CSKA Moscow
0:1
31.01.2025
CSKA Moscow
-
Rostov
1:0
23.11.2024
CSKA Moscow
-
Rostov
1:2
Latest results of CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 56:21 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | Zenit | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 50:18 | 32 | 62 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 52:36 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 37:18 | 19 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 39:31 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 26:26 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 22:30 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 27 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 23:46 | -23 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 27:57 | -30 | 21 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
