Getafe vs Real Madrid: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish LaLiga
Soccer Spanish LaLiga Getafe - Real Madrid
Result
0:1
23/04/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : LaLiga - Round 33
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
Getafe - Real Madrid - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.321.40
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
76% (233/307)85% (465/545)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.321.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.751.27
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
1510
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
3019
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
715
Passes
76% (233/307)85% (465/545)
Long passes
45% (30/67)46% (24/52)
Passes in final third
60% (70/116)71% (75/106)
Crosses
35% (6/17)0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.71
Fouls
157
Tackles
67% (8/12)91% (10/11)
Duels won
3860
Clearances Total
1034
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
66
xGOT faced
1.271.75
Goals prevented
0.271.75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Guler A. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Alaba D. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
  • 50', Berrocal J. ↓, da Costa C. ↑,
  • 50', Iglesias J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
  • 64', Endrick ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
  • 69', Terrats R. ↓, Peter Federico ↑,
  • 69', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
  • 73', Vinicius Junior ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
  • 78', Guler A. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
  • 83', Mayoral B. ↓, Juanmi ↑,
  • 83', Djene ↓, Bekhoucha I. ↑,
  • 87', Milla L. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Peter Federico 🟨,

Chances of winning


Getafe
17.2%		Draw
25.6%		Real Madrid
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.1% 24.4% 55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7% 24.9% 56.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Getafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Getafe than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
    •

    Getafe - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.57 ↑
    (4.78)    		 3.76 ↓
    (3.93)    		 1.69 ↓
    (1.73)    		 3.9%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Getafe - Real Madrid?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Real (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • AH +0.75 - Real (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH +1 - Real (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (95 of 109 users predict this - 87.16%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.88% – 93.44%. The data is statistically significant.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Real is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Getafe won 0.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Real is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Getafe: Nyom A. (Muscle Injury) Rico D. (Injury) Uche C. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Mbappe K. (Ankle Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Getafe won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 9:45 (average 0.5:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Getafe won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 3:19 (average 0.3:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Getafe - Real Madrid were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Real Madrid - Getafe 2:0
    01.02.2024 Getafe - Real Madrid 0:2
    02.09.2023 Real Madrid - Getafe 2:1
    13.05.2023 Real Madrid - Getafe 1:0
    08.10.2022 Getafe - Real Madrid 0:1
    Latest results of Getafe
    18.04.2025 Espanyol - Getafe 1:0 ✺
    12.04.2025 Getafe - Las Palmas 1:3 ✺
    06.04.2025 Valladolid - Getafe 0:4 ✺
    30.03.2025 Getafe - Villarreal 1:2 ✺
    09.03.2025 Getafe - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    20.04.2025 Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:0 ✺
    16.04.2025 Real Madrid - Arsenal 1:2 ✺
    13.04.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺
    08.04.2025 Arsenal - Real Madrid 3:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 1:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Getafe - Real Madrid?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
    albaniaAlbaniaK-Sport 1, SuperSport 2
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    azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
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    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadaTSN 1, TSN+
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
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    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
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    italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
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    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
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    laosLaosbeIN Connect
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    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
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    mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
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    spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
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    tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
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