Result
17/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Leones del Norte
33.6% | Draw
30.5% | SD Aucas
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Leones del Norte - SD Aucas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↓
(2.91) |
3.03 ↓
(3.09) |
2.57 ↑
(2.48) |
8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In recent matches, Leones del Norte has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aucas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones del Norte won against SD Aucas?
Leones del Norte has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Leones del Norte?
SD Aucas has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leones del Norte - SD Aucas were as follows:
Latest results of Leones del Norte
Latest results of SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Aucas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Tecnico U | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Delfin | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Macara | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | Mushuc Runa | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Libertad | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | LDU Quito | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Orense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Emelec | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Manta | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
