Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
17/04/2026 at 09:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
37
Double Faults
02
1st serve percentage
66%64%
1st serve points won
70% (35/50)84% (38/45)
2nd serve points won
65% (17/26)68% (17/25)
Break Points Saved
5/70/1
1st return points won
16% (7/45)32% (16/50)
2nd return points won
32% (8/25)35% (9/26)
Break Points Converted
1/12/7
Winners
1830
Unforced errors
2632
Net points won
0% (0/0)0% (0/0)
Service Points Won
68% (52/76)79% (55/70)
Return Points Won
21% (15/70)32% (24/76)
Total Points Won
46% (67/146)54% (79/146)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
85% (11/13)93% (13/14)
Return games won
7% (1/14)15% (2/13)
Total games won
44% (12/27)56% (15/27)

Chances of winning


Joao Fonseca
65.6%
Ben Shelton
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Fonseca's performance.
  • Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ben Shelton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Fonseca that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ben Shelton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Joao Fonseca - Ben Shelton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.57)

    2.78
    (2.3)
    4.6%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Joao Fonseca - Ben Shelton?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Fonseca (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Fonseca (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Joao Fonseca will win (34 of 37 users predict this - 91.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.09%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joao Fonseca will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Fonseca (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fonseca is ranked ATP: 35. Shelton is ranked ATP: 6.
    • Fonseca is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Shelton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Shelton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Fonseca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Joao Fonseca
    Latest results of Ben Shelton
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    2Diallo G.Sachko V. (Q)2 : 0
    3Van De Zandschulp B.Huesler M. (Q)2 : 0
    4Nagal S. (LL)Cerundolo F. (5)0 : 2
    5Cobolli F. (4)Dedura D. (Q)2 : 0
    6Bergs Z.Topo M. (LL)2 : 0
    7Engel J. (WC)Kopriva V.1 : 2
    8Zhang Z. (PR)Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Griekspoor T. (8)Shapovalov D.1 : 2
    10Marozsan F.Tsitsipas S.2 : 1
    11Cilic M.Altmaier D.0 : 2
    12Molcan A. (Q)Bublik A. (3)2 : 0
    13Rinderknech A. (7)Michelsen A.2 : 0
    14Tabilo A.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    15Blockx A. (WC)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    16Nava E. (LL)Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Diallo G.2 : 0
    2Van De Zandschulp B.Cerundolo F. (5)0 : 2
    3Cobolli F. (4)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    4Kopriva V.Darderi L. (6)2 : 1
    5Shapovalov D.Marozsan F.2 : 0
    6Altmaier D.Molcan A.0 : 2
    7Rinderknech A. (7)Fonseca J.0 : 2
    8Blockx A.Shelton B. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cerundolo F. (5)2 : 1
    2Cobolli F. (4)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    3Shapovalov D.Molcan A.0 : 2
    4Fonseca J.Shelton B. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Cobolli F. (4)0 : 2
    2Molcan A.Shelton B. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cobolli F. (4)Shelton B. (2)0 : 2