Paysandu vs Barra Santa Catarina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/04/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 3

Match Stats

Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
64
Corner kicks
65
Yellow cards
35
Total shots
158
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
94
Corner kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', Marcinho 🟨,
  • 27', 1 - 0, Kleiton Pego ,
  • 32', Jean Pierre 🟨,
  • 35', Marcelinho 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Warley Jr ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Marcelinho , Saymon ,
  • 53', Kaua Hinkel , Thalyson ,
  • 59', Tete 🟨,
  • 65', Pablo Gabriel 🟨,
  • 67', Warley Jr , Gabriel Silva ,
  • 68', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
  • 72', Bonifazi F. , Juninho ,
  • 72', Kleiton Pego , Luciano Taboca ,
  • 72', Italo Carvalho , Lucas Cardoso ,
  • 83', Tete , Vava Franca ,
  • 83', Cleo Silva , Henrique Freitas ,
  • 84', Caio Mello , Henrico ,
  • 86', Henrico 🟨,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paysandu
53.7%
Draw
29.6%
Barra Santa Catarina
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 33% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 32.5% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paysandu's performance.
  • Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barra Santa Catarina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paysandu that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barra Santa Catarina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Paysandu - Barra Santa Catarina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.14)
    3.45
    (2.75)
    6.1
    (3.71)
    -2%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Paysandu - Barra Santa Catarina?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Paysandu will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Paysandu is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Barra has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Barra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Paysandu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Paysandu
    15.04.2026 Paysandu - Independência 2:1
    12.04.2026 Paysandu - Brusque 1:1
    09.04.2026 Nacional AM - Paysandu 7:0
    05.04.2026 Volta Redonda - Paysandu 0:1
    Latest results of Barra Santa Catarina
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Amazonas33006:069
    2Ypiranga FC32106:247
    3Brusque32106:427
    4Maringa FC32018:626
    5Botafogo PB32014:226
    6Guarani31204:225
    7Paysandu PA31203:215
    8Floresta EC31203:215
    9Barra FC31114:224
    10Inter de Limeira31114:404
    11Santa Cruz31112:204
    12Figueirense31114:5-14
    13Ituano31113:4-14
    14SER Caxias31022:3-13
    15Confianca31021:2-13
    16Volta Redonda31021:3-23
    17Itabaiana30122:4-21
    18Ferroviaria30122:5-31
    19Maranhao30121:6-51
    20Anapolis30031:7-60

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D