Dusan Lajovic vs Matteo Arnaldi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Dusan Lajovic
45.9%
Matteo Arnaldi
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 59.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dusan Lajovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dusan Lajovic's performance.
  • Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Arnaldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dusan Lajovic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matteo Arnaldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dusan Lajovic - Matteo Arnaldi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.41)

    1.74
    (1.51)
    5.9%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Dusan Lajovic - Matteo Arnaldi?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lajovic will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bublik Alexander, Lajovic Dusan - withdrawn.
    • Lajovic is ranked ATP: 134. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 105.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Lajovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Dusan Lajovic
    Latest results of Matteo Arnaldi
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Gojo B.2 : 0
    2Harris B.Merida Aguilar D. (13)0 : 2
    3Garin C. (2)Blanchet U. (Alt)2 : 0
    4Pellegrino A.Damm M. (24)0 : 2
    5Svajda Z. (3)Sakamoto R. (WC)0 : 2
    6Gea A.Gaubas V. (22)0 : 2
    7Prizmic D. (4)O'Connell C.
    8Piros Z.Barrios Vera T. (21)
    9Vukic A. (5)Llamas Ruiz P.0 : 2
    10Moller E.Gaston H. (18)2 : 0
    11Halys Q. (6)Faria J.
    12Harris L.McDonald M. (23)2 : 0
    13Kypson P. (7)Kouame M. (WC)
    14Travaglia S.Basilashvili N. (20)
    15Vallejo D. (8)Martinez P.
    16Rocha H.Choinski J. (19)
    17Kovacevic A. (9)Echargui M.
    18Budkov Kjaer N.Maestrelli F. (16)
    19van Assche L. (10)Dedura D. (WC)
    20Blanch Dar. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)
    21Wu Y. (11)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    22Virtanen O.Droguet T. (17)1 : 2
    23Hijikata R. (12)Rodesch C.
    24Lajovic D.Arnaldi M. (14)

    Final
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Merida Aguilar D. (13)
    2Garin C. (2)Damm M. (24)
    3Sakamoto R.Gaubas V. (22)
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5Llamas Ruiz P.Moller E.
    6TBD #11Harris L.
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11Wu Y. (11)Droguet T. (17)
    12TBD #23TBD #24