Result
2:1
23/04/2026 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 68% | 59% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 75% (44/59) | 74% (42/57) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 71% (20/28) | 49% (19/39) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 1/3 | 4/7 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 26% (15/57) | 25% (15/59) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 51% (20/39) | 29% (8/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 3/7 | 2/3 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 32 | 35 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 28 | 35 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 67% (10/15) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 74% (64/87) | 64% (61/96) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 36% (35/96) | 26% (23/87) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (99/183) | 46% (84/183) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 80% (12/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 13% (2/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 53% (16/30) | 47% (14/30) |
Chances of winning
Pablo Carreno-Busta
51.1% | Marton Fucsovics
48.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Marton Fucsovics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Carreno-Busta that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marton Fucsovics than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marton Fucsovics could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pablo Carreno-Busta - Marton Fucsovics Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.75) |
|
1.97 ↓
(2.18) |
4.3%
(3%) | |
What is the prediction for Pablo Carreno-Busta - Marton Fucsovics?
Users Predictions:
Pablo Carreno-Busta will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 94. Fucsovics is ranked ATP: 54.
- Carreno Busta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fucsovics is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carreno Busta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Marton Fucsovics?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marton Fucsovics won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Marton Fucsovics has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pablo Carreno-Busta - Marton Fucsovics were as follows:
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Latest results of Marton Fucsovics
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Bonzi B. (Q) | Droguet T. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Moller E. (Q) | Cina F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Diallo G. (32) | |
| 5 | Norrie C. (19) | Bye | |
| 6 | Machac T. | Comesana F. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Bautista-Agut R. | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Paul T. (15) | |
| 9 | Rublev A. (9) | Bye | |
| 10 | Zhang Z. (PR) | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Sonego L. | Lajovic D. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Rinderknech A. (22) | |
| 13 | Fonseca J. (27) | Bye | |
| 14 | Bergs Z. | Cilic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Jodar R. (WC) | De Jong J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 17 | Shelton B. (4) | Bye | |
| 18 | Prizmic D. (Q) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 19 | Basilashvili N. (Q) | Ofner S. | 0 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | |
| 21 | Fils A. (21) | Bye | |
| 22 | Buse I. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Brooksby J. | Nava E. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Vacherot V. (14) | |
| 25 | Lehecka J. (11) | Bye | |
| 26 | Tabilo A. | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 27 | Muller A. | Struff J-L. | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Michelsen A. (33) | |
| 29 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Bye | |
| 30 | Dzumhur D. | Bellucci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Faria J. (Q) | Hurkacz H. | 0 : 2 |
| 32 | Bye | Musetti L. (6) | |
| 33 | Bublik A. (8) | Bye | |
| 34 | Kypson P. (LL) | Tsitsipas S. | |
| 35 | Trungelliti M. (LL) | Merida Aguilar D. (Q) | |
| 36 | Bye | Moutet C. (26) | |
| 37 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Bye | |
| 38 | Carreno-Busta P. (WC) | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 1 |
| 39 | Munar J. | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 40 | Bye | Ruud C. (12) | |
| 41 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Bye | |
| 42 | Hanfmann Y. | Giron M. | 2 : 1 |
| 43 | Altmaier D. | Cerundolo J. M. | |
| 44 | Bye | Darderi L. (18) | |
| 45 | Nakashima B. (28) | Bye | |
| 46 | Garin C. (LL) | Blockx A. | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Gaubas V. (Q) | Baez S. | |
| 48 | Bye | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | |
| 49 | Medvedev D. (7) | Bye | |
| 50 | Marozsan F. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 51 | Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) | Opelka R. | |
| 52 | Bye | Shapovalov D. (31) | |
| 53 | Tien L. (17) | Bye | |
| 54 | Vallejo D. (Q) | Dimitrov G. | 2 : 0 |
| 55 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Monfils G. (WC) | |
| 56 | Bye | Cobolli F. (10) | |
| 57 | Khachanov K. (13) | Bye | |
| 58 | Landaluce M. (WC) | Walton A. | |
| 59 | Popyrin A. | Damm M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Mensik J. (23) | |
| 61 | Humbert U. (30) | Bye | |
| 62 | Atmane T. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Borges N. | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Sinner J. (1) | Bonzi B. (Q) | |
| 2 | Moller E. (Q) | Diallo G. (32) | |
| 3 | Norrie C. (19) | Machac T. | |
| 4 | Tirante T. A. | Paul T. (15) | |
| 5 | Rublev A. (9) | Kopriva V. | |
| 6 | Lajovic D. | Rinderknech A. (22) | |
| 7 | Fonseca J. (27) | Cilic M. | |
| 8 | Jodar R. | De Minaur A. (5) | |
| 9 | Shelton B. (4) | Prizmic D. | |
| 10 | Ofner S. | Etcheverry T. M. (25) | |
| 11 | Fils A. (21) | Buse I. | |
| 12 | Nava E. | Vacherot V. (14) | |
| 13 | Lehecka J. (11) | Tabilo A. | |
| 14 | Struff J-L. | Michelsen A. (33) | |
| 15 | Griekspoor T. (29) | Dzumhur D. | |
| 16 | Hurkacz H. | Musetti L. (6) | |
| 17 | Bublik A. (8) | TBD #34 | |
| 18 | TBD #35 | Moutet C. (26) | |
| 19 | Davidovich Fokina A. (20) | Carreno-Busta P. | |
| 20 | Munar J. | Ruud C. (12) | |
| 21 | Cerundolo F. (16) | Hanfmann Y. | |
| 22 | TBD #43 | Darderi L. (18) | |
| 23 | Nakashima B. (28) | Blockx A. | |
| 24 | TBD #47 | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | |
| 25 | Medvedev D. (7) | Marozsan F. | |
| 26 | TBD #51 | Shapovalov D. (31) | |
| 27 | Tien L. (17) | Vallejo D. | |
| 28 | TBD #55 | Cobolli F. (10) | |
| 29 | Khachanov K. (13) | TBD #58 | |
| 30 | Damm M. | Mensik J. (23) | |
| 31 | Humbert U. (30) | Atmane T. | |
| 32 | Navone M. | Zverev A. (2) | |
1/16-finals1/8-finalsQuarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
