Daniil Ostapenkov vs Samuele Pieri – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
21/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shymkent, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
90
Double Faults
104
1st serve percentage
56%64%
1st serve points won
64% (45/70)64% (47/74)
2nd serve points won
50% (28/56)51% (21/41)
Break Points Saved
4/98/13
1st return points won
36% (27/74)36% (25/70)
2nd return points won
49% (20/41)50% (28/56)
Break Points Converted
5/135/9
Winners
5118
Unforced errors
7840
Net points won
52% (11/21)70% (7/10)
Service Points Won
58% (73/126)59% (68/115)
Return Points Won
41% (47/115)42% (53/126)
Total Points Won
50% (120/241)50% (121/241)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
71% (12/17)71% (12/17)
Return games won
29% (5/17)29% (5/17)
Total games won
50% (17/34)50% (17/34)

Chances of winning


Daniil Ostapenkov
45.4%
Samuele Pieri
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 69.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Daniil Ostapenkov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniil Ostapenkov's performance.
  • Samuele Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samuele Pieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (-15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniil Ostapenkov that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samuele Pieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Daniil Ostapenkov - Samuele Pieri Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.62)

    1.77
    (1.43)
    3.5%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 675. Pieri is ranked ATP: 472.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Ostapenkov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Pieri is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Daniil Ostapenkov
    Latest results of Samuele Pieri