Levadia Tallinn U21 vs Tallinna Kalev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
23/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Esiliiga - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
82
Corner kicks
93
Total shots
147
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
65
Corner kicks
93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Petrunin D. (Own goal),
  • 27', 1 - 1, Sal-Al-Saller D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 60', 2 - 1, Lehtmets G. ,
  • 67', 3 - 1, Sibul A. (Own goal),
  • 79', 3 - 2, Ilves R. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Levadia Tallinn U21
52.7%
Draw
20.5%
Tallinna Kalev
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 24.6% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 24.5% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Levadia Tallinn U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Levadia Tallinn U21's performance.
  • Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tallinna Kalev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn U21 than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Levadia Tallinn U21 that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tallinna Kalev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (2.33)
    4.42
    (3.68)
    3.36
    (2.47)
    10.6%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga B and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levadia U21 won 0.
    • Levadia U21 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Kalev's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Levadia U21 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.7:2.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Levadia U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 2:3.3).
    Latest results of Levadia Tallinn U21
    Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
    Estonian Esiliiga Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tartu Welco971130:111922
    2Flora U21860225:131218
    3Viimsi JK952215:8717
    4Nomme Utd U21842218:15314
    5Tallinna Kalev932419:19011
    6Elva932417:18-111
    7Nomme Kalju U21931515:24-910
    8FC Tallinn923416:26-109
    9Maardu913510:25-156
    10Levadia U21920715:21-66

          Promotion ~ Meistriliiga
          Promotion ~ Meistriliiga (Promotion: )
          Esiliiga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Esiliiga B