Elmer Moller vs Gabriel Diallo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Diallo G. Retired
24/04/2026 at 06:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
53%76%
1st serve points won
58% (19/33)60% (25/42)
2nd serve points won
55% (16/29)38% (5/13)
Break Points Saved
6/91/5
1st return points won
43% (18/42)42% (14/33)
2nd return points won
62% (8/13)45% (13/29)
Break Points Converted
4/53/9
Winners
2013
Unforced errors
1210
Net points won
50% (1/2)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
56% (34/61)55% (30/55)
Return Points Won
45% (25/55)44% (27/61)
Total Points Won
51% (59/116)49% (57/116)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (6/9)56% (5/9)
Return games won
44% (4/9)33% (3/9)
Total games won
56% (10/18)44% (8/18)

Chances of winning


Elmer Moller
42.9%
Gabriel Diallo
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.9% 54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 49.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elmer Moller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elmer Moller, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriel Diallo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Elmer Moller - Gabriel Diallo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.06)

    1.67
    (1.75)
    5%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Elmer Moller - Gabriel Diallo?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Diallo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Gabriel Diallo will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Moller is ranked ATP: 169. Diallo is ranked ATP: 36.
    • Recent performances by Moller have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Diallo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Moller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Diallo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Elmer Moller
    Latest results of Gabriel Diallo
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.1 : 2
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R. (RET.)0 : 0
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)2 : 0
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (RET.) (32)1 : 0
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)0 : 2
    7Fonseca J. (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)2 : 1
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)0 : 2
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    17Bublik A. (8)Tsitsipas S.
    18Merida Aguilar D.Moutet C. (26)
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.
    22Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (18)
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.
    24Gaubas V.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.
    26Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D. (31)
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.
    28Ugo Carabelli C.Cobolli F. (10)
    29Khachanov K. (13)Walton A.
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1Moller E.
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5Rinderknech A. (22)
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Nava E.
    7TBD #13Michelsen A. (33)
    8Griekspoor T. (29)Musetti L. (6)
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2