Result
1:2
14/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 53% | 80% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 63% (31/49) | 69% (38/55) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 41% (18/44) | 57% (8/14) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 8/13 | 5/6 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 31% (17/55) | 41% (20/49) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 59% (26/44) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 1/6 | 5/13 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 40 | 31 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 50% (3/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (49/93) | 66% (45/68) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 34% (23/68) | 47% (44/93) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (72/161) | 55% (89/161) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 91% (10/11) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 42% (5/12) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 65% (15/23) |
Chances of winning
Elmer Moller 39.9% | Nicolas Jarry 60.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elmer Moller's performance.Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Jarry might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Elmer Moller - Nicolas Jarry Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.33 ↓ (2.94) |
|
1.56 ↑ (1.36) |
7.1% (7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Elmer Moller - Nicolas Jarry?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Jarry will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 76.1% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nicolas Jarry will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Moller is ranked ATP: 131. Jarry is ranked ATP: 156.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Jarry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Jarry might have a minor edge in this game.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Elmer Moller won against Nicolas Jarry?
Elmer Moller has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nicolas Jarry won against Elmer Moller?
Nicolas Jarry has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elmer Moller - Nicolas Jarry were as follows:
Latest results of Elmer Moller
Latest results of Nicolas Jarry