Sydney Olympic vs University of New South Wales – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL NSW - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Corner kicks
24
Red cards
01
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
610
Corner kicks
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, ,
  • 45+2', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 87', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Sydney Olympic
50.7%
Draw
29.1%
University of New South Wales
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 25.5% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 24% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sydney Olympic's performance.
  • University of New South Wales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and University of New South Wales might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Olympic than the current prediction. (-18.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sydney Olympic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for University of New South Wales than the current prediction. (+22.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that University of New South Wales could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sydney Olympic - University of New South Wales Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.72)
    4.22
    (3.62)
    6.1
    (2.28)
    -18.7%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ NSW League One and 11).
    • Sydney Olympic is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • UNSW is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that UNSW will win today's game, with odds of 2.26.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Australian NPL NSW Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1APIA Leichhardt13102130:151532
    2Marconi Stallions13101229:121731
    3Sydney Utd12101122:91331
    4Wollongong Wolves1272314:12223
    5Rockdale Ilinden1270521:18321
    6NWS Spirit1362517:17020
    7Sydney FC U231353521:18318
    8WS Wanderers U211351722:18416
    9Sutherland Sharks1351719:19016
    10St George Saints1351713:19-616
    11SD Raiders1342720:29-914
    12UNSW1334620:21-113
    13Manly Utd1333712:20-812
    14Blacktown City1324718:24-610
    15St. George City1324710:24-1410
    16Sydney Olympic1221915:28-137

          Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          NPL NSW (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ NSW League One