Laura Samsonova vs Anna Bondar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
25/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
44
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
54%64%
1st serve points won
77% (27/35)69% (27/39)
2nd serve points won
30% (9/30)59% (13/22)
Break Points Saved
4/83/4
1st return points won
31% (12/39)34% (12/35)
2nd return points won
41% (9/22)70% (21/30)
Break Points Converted
1/44/8
Service Points Won
55% (36/65)66% (40/61)
Return Points Won
34% (21/61)45% (29/65)
Total Points Won
45% (57/126)55% (69/126)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
20
Service games won
60% (6/10)89% (8/9)
Return games won
11% (1/9)40% (4/10)
Total games won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Laura Samsonova
27.3%
Anna Bondar
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 65.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 64.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Laura Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Laura Samsonova's form might have worsened.
  • Anna Bondar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anna Bondar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laura Samsonova than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laura Samsonova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anna Bondar than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anna Bondar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Laura Samsonova - Anna Bondar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.71)

    1.31
    (1.45)
    4.9%
    (5.9%)
    What is the prediction for Laura Samsonova - Anna Bondar?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Samsonova will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Bondar will win (votes: 12 - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bondar: 59.8%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bondar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 17.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Samsonova is ranked WTA: 171. Bondar is ranked WTA: 63.
    • In recent matches, Samsonova has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bondar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Bondar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bondar is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Bondar will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Laura Samsonova
    Latest results of Anna Bondar
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Stearns P.Boisson L.2 : 0
    3Uchijima M.Starodubtseva Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCristian J. (29)
    5Bouzkova M. (23)Bye
    6Kalinina A. (Q)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    7Zakharova A.Osorio C.0 : 2
    8ByeOsaka N. (14)
    9Bencic B. (11)Bye
    10Marcinko P.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)2 : 0
    11Haddad Maia B.Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    12ByeShnaider D. (18)
    13Baptiste H. (30)Bye
    14Quevedo K. (WC)Williams V. (WC)2 : 0
    15Siegemund L.Begu I.2 : 0
    16ByePaolini J. (8)
    17Swiatek I. (4)Bye
    18Snigur D. (Q)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    19Parks A. (Q)Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    20ByeLi A. (31)
    21Fernandez L. (24)Bye
    22Badosa P. (WC)Grabher J.1 : 2
    23Montgomery R. (WC)Linette M.0 : 2
    24ByeJovic I. (15)
    25Andreeva M. (9)Bye
    26Udvardy P. (LL)Birrell K.2 : 1
    27Galfi D. (Q)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    28ByeKalinskaya A. (22)
    29Wang Xin. (28)Bye
    30Maria T.Samson L. (WC)0 : 2
    31Bondar A.Golubic V.2 : 0
    32ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Townsend T.Boulter K.0 : 2
    35Putintseva Y.Valentova T.2 : 1
    36ByeKostyuk M. (26)
    37Blinkova A. (Alt)Bye
    38Kalieva E. (Q)Siniakova K.0 : 2
    39McNally C.Volynets K. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeMboko V. (10)
    41Noskova L. (13)Bye
    42Gibson T.Arango E. (WC)0 : 2
    43Tjen J.Charaeva A. (Q)2 : 0
    44ByeSamsonova L. (20)
    45Cirstea S. (25)Bye
    46Jacquemot E.Grant T. C. (Q)0 : 2
    47Selekhmeteva O.Jeanjean L. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (3)
    49Frech M. (34)Bye
    50Yastremska D.Sierra S.0 : 2
    51Sonmez Z.Martinez Cirez C. (WC)2 : 0
    52ByeBucsa C. (27)
    53Mertens E. (19)Bye
    54Pavlyuchenkova A. (Q)Eala A.0 : 2
    55Pliskova Ka.Kraus S. (Q)2 : 1
    56ByeSakkari M. (33)
    57Potapova A. (LL)Bye
    58Zhang S.Lys E.2 : 0
    59Oliynykova O.Waltert S. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeOstapenko J. (21)
    61Zheng Q. (32)Bye
    62Krueger A.Kenin S.0 : 2
    63Ruse G.Ruzic A.2 : 1
    64ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Stearns P.2 : 0
    2Starodubtseva Y.Cristian J. (29)1 : 2
    3Bouzkova M. (23)Kalinina A.0 : 2
    4Osorio C.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (11)Marcinko P.2 : 0
    6Bouzas Maneiro J.Shnaider D. (18)1 : 2
    7Baptiste H. (30)Quevedo K.2 : 0
    8Siegemund L.Paolini J. (8)1 : 2
    9Swiatek I. (4)Snigur D.2 : 0
    10Parks A.Li A. (31)1 : 2
    11Fernandez L. (24)Grabher J.2 : 0
    12Linette M.Jovic I. (15)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (9)Udvardy P.2 : 0
    14Galfi D.Kalinskaya A. (22)2 : 0
    15Wang Xin. (28)Samson L.1 : 2
    16Bondar A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    17Pegula J. (5)Boulter K.2 : 0
    18Putintseva Y.Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    19Blinkova A.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    20McNally C.Mboko V. (10)2 : 0
    21Noskova L. (13)Arango E.2 : 0
    22Tjen J.Samsonova L. (20)0 : 2
    23Cirstea S. (25)Grant T. C.2 : 0
    24Jeanjean L.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Frech M. (34)Sierra S.0 : 2
    26Sonmez Z.Bucsa C. (27)2 : 1
    27Mertens E. (19)Eala A.2 : 0
    28Pliskova Ka.Sakkari M. (33)2 : 0
    29Potapova A.Zhang S.2 : 0
    30Waltert S.Ostapenko J. (21)0 : 2
    31Zheng Q. (32)Kenin S.2 : 1
    32Ruse G.Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Cristian J. (29)
    2Kalinina A.Osaka N. (14)
    3Bencic B. (11)Shnaider D. (18)2 : 0
    4Baptiste H. (30)Paolini J. (8)
    5Swiatek I. (4)Li A. (31)
    6Fernandez L. (24)Jovic I. (15)2 : 1
    7Andreeva M. (9)Galfi D.2 : 0
    8Samson L.Bondar A.0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (5)Kostyuk M. (26)
    10Siniakova K.McNally C.
    11Noskova L. (13)Samsonova L. (20)
    12Cirstea S. (25)Gauff C. (3)
    13Sierra S.Sonmez Z.
    14Mertens E. (19)Pliskova Ka.
    15Potapova A.Ostapenko J. (21)
    16Zheng Q. (32)Rybakina E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Bencic B. (11)TBD #4
    3TBD #5Fernandez L. (24)
    4Andreeva M. (9)Bondar A.
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2