Polona Hercog vs Xin Gao – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/04/2026 at 04:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Huzhou, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
64
Double Faults
41
1st serve percentage
66%70%
1st serve points won
54% (36/67)55% (39/71)
2nd serve points won
59% (20/34)53% (16/30)
Break Points Saved
1/66/11
1st return points won
45% (32/71)46% (31/67)
2nd return points won
47% (14/30)41% (14/34)
Break Points Converted
5/115/6
Service Points Won
55% (56/101)54% (55/101)
Return Points Won
46% (46/101)45% (45/101)
Total Points Won
50% (102/202)50% (100/202)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
02
Service games won
69% (11/16)67% (10/15)
Return games won
33% (5/15)31% (5/16)
Total games won
52% (16/31)48% (15/31)

Chances of winning


Polona Hercog
62%
Xin Gao
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polona Hercog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Xin Gao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xin Gao than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Polona Hercog - Xin Gao Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.51)

    2.46
    (2.42)
    6.8%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Hercog is ranked WTA: 249. Gao is ranked WTA: 230.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Hercog may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Hercog will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Polona Hercog
    Latest results of Xin Gao
    23.04.2026 Varvara Panshina - Xin Gao 2:0
    22.04.2026 Meiqi Guo - Xin Gao 0:2
    20.04.2026 Sitong Chen - Xin Gao 0:2
    10.04.2026 Xin Gao - Susan Bandecchi 1:2
    09.04.2026 Xin Gao - Aneta Kucmova 2:1