Marina Bassols Ribera vs Polona Hercog – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Hercog P. Retired
07/04/2026 at 06:25 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
20
1st serve percentage
53%65%
1st serve points won
56% (9/16)44% (14/32)
2nd serve points won
43% (6/14)24% (4/17)
Break Points Saved
1/44/9
1st return points won
59% (19/32)56% (9/16)
2nd return points won
76% (13/17)57% (8/14)
Break Points Converted
5/93/4
Service Points Won
50% (15/30)36% (16/44)
Return Points Won
64% (28/44)50% (15/30)
Total Points Won
58% (43/74)42% (31/74)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
50% (3/6)17% (1/6)
Return games won
83% (5/6)50% (3/6)
Total games won
67% (8/12)33% (4/12)

Chances of winning


Marina Bassols Ribera
29.2%
Polona Hercog
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 62.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marina Bassols Ribera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marina Bassols Ribera's form might have worsened.
  • Polona Hercog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polona Hercog's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marina Bassols Ribera than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marina Bassols Ribera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polona Hercog, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marina Bassols Ribera - Polona Hercog Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.24
    (2.65)

    1.33
    (1.46)
    5.8%
    (6.2%)
    What is the prediction for Marina Bassols Ribera - Polona Hercog?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bassols Ribera will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Hercog will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bassols Ribera (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bassols Ribera is ranked WTA: 205. Hercog is ranked WTA: 269.
    • In recent matches, Bassols Ribera has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hercog is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Hercog may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Hercog is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Hercog will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Polona Hercog