Xin Yu Wang vs Alina Charaeva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
30/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: La Bisbal D'Emporda, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
26
Double Faults
412
1st serve percentage
69%52%
1st serve points won
66% (46/70)78% (43/55)
2nd serve points won
56% (18/32)45% (23/51)
Break Points Saved
9/146/12
1st return points won
22% (12/55)34% (24/70)
2nd return points won
55% (28/51)44% (14/32)
Break Points Converted
6/125/14
Service Points Won
59% (64/108)61% (62/102)
Return Points Won
39% (40/102)41% (44/108)
Total Points Won
50% (104/210)50% (106/210)
Last 10 balls
19
Match points saved
01
Service games won
69% (11/16)65% (11/17)
Return games won
35% (6/17)31% (5/16)
Total games won
52% (17/33)48% (16/33)

Chances of winning


Xin Yu Wang
53.7%
Alina Charaeva
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 53.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Xin Yu Wang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Alina Charaeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xin Yu Wang than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xin Yu Wang that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alina Charaeva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Xin Yu Wang - Alina Charaeva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.79)

    2
    (1.92)
    7.4%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Xin Yu Wang - Alina Charaeva?
  • Users Predictions: Xin Yu Wang will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wang is ranked WTA: 31. Charaeva is ranked WTA: 129.
    • Wang is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Charaeva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Charaeva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
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