Piauí vs Itabaiana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
29/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa do Nordeste - Round 5

Match Stats

Yellow cards
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Leilson ,
  • 20', Dione 🟨,
  • 35', Lucas Bessa 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 75', Gomes 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Kauan Maranhao ,
  • 86', Balde R. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Piauí
27.5%
Draw
30.3%
Itabaiana
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 29.5% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 26.3% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Piauí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Piauí's form might have worsened.
  • Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Itabaiana's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piauí than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Piauí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Itabaiana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Piauí - Itabaiana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.63
    (2.08)
    3.18
    (3.04)
    2.22
    (3.29)
    4.1%
    (11.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Piauí - Itabaiana?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Itabaiana (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Itabaiana (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Piauí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Itabaiana has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Piauí
    26.04.2026 Piauí - Altos 3:1
    19.04.2026 Fluminense Piaui - Piauí 3:2
    15.04.2026 Vitória Salvador - Piauí 3:1
    08.04.2026 Fluminense Piaui - Piauí 2:0
    Latest results of Itabaiana
    25.04.2026 Itabaiana - Paysandu 1:4
    22.04.2026 Itabaiana - Botafogo PB 3:3
    19.04.2026 Guarani - Itabaiana 1:1
    12.04.2026 Itabaiana - Ypiranga 1:2
    09.04.2026 Itabaiana - Confiança 0:1
    Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria531114:8610
    2ASA52307:439
    3Sousa52128:717
    4Fluminense-PI51314:406
    5Itabaiana50324:8-43


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Confianca52217:708
    2Juazeirense51318:806
    3Botafogo PB51318:9-16
    4CRB51225:6-15
    5Piaui51133:7-44


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sport Recife ✔ 540111:3812
    2Ceara531111:6510
    3Ferroviario52126:8-27
    4America RN51224:6-25
    5Imperatriz51134:7-34


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ABC531111:4710
    2Fortaleza53116:4210
    3Retro53117:6110
    4Jacuipense50142:8-61
    5Maranhao50144:14-101

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